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Rubio’s Exit Leaves Trump With an Open Path to 1,237 Delegates
NYT.COM ^ | MARCH 16, 2016 | GREGOR AISCH, JOSH KATZ, JOSH KELLER and ALICIA PARLAPIANO

Posted on 03/16/2016 4:49:57 PM PDT by Liz

Trump’s victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Sen Marco Rubio out of the race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position. If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

But Mr. Trump still needs to win most of the remaining delegates to avoid a contested convention. If he continues his current performance and wins a series of key states — like Arizona, California and New York — he would get the needed delegates. Exit polls have indicated that most of Mr. Rubio’s support could be distributed to Mr. Trump’s competitors. If this support consolidates – with, say, 80 percent of Mr. Rubio's voters going to Mr. Cruz – this would cut into Mr. Trump’s delegate lead.

But gains by Mr. Cruz may not prevent Mr. Trump from winning the key states that ensure him enough delegates.

This interactive delegate calculator (at web site) uses each state’s delegate allocation rules, along with estimates of how favorable each district is for each candidate. To compute these estimates, we used a model based on polling, demographics and results from past primaries and caucuses.

Delegate totals as of March 15 are estimates of how all the delegates for each state will be allocated.

CREDIT: Election results from The Associated Press Additional work by K.K. Rebecca Lai

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: trump
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To: datura; All
Even though @realDonaldTrump won delegates in Texas
the @TedCruz- @georgepbush #RickPerry cabal is refusing to slate Trump supporters

CONTACT THE RNC

Republican National Committee
310 First Street, SE
Washington, DC 20003

Phone 202-863-8500

FAX 202-863-8820

EMAIL info@gop.com.

Visit the Republican National Committee Facebook page

Contact Your State GOP---Visit their online homepage

21 posted on 03/16/2016 5:36:48 PM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

In return for what ?


22 posted on 03/16/2016 5:54:58 PM PDT by dartuser
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To: Liz

Trump Bump


23 posted on 03/16/2016 6:19:46 PM PDT by Guenevere (If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do....)
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To: Liz

Booyah! Nevertrump losers are sweating BIG TIME.


24 posted on 03/16/2016 6:21:03 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

It’ll be a long spring but they can’t steal it if we the people win outright for Mr. Trump.


25 posted on 03/16/2016 6:23:17 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: All

26 posted on 03/16/2016 6:23:24 PM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: JBW1949

Trump gets the required 1237, the GOPe better hope they don’t try to pull some BS against Trump...Real patriotic Americans would cause the end of the GOP and e right then and there....>>>> i’ve got motel reservations.


27 posted on 03/16/2016 7:08:57 PM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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To: JediJones

Don’t leave out the possibility that Kasich is simply being patriotic.


28 posted on 03/16/2016 7:20:23 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2
Cruz’s only chance to escape an embarrassing return to his senate seat is to cut a deal with Trump before its too late.

Will Texans remember in 2018 that their sitting Senator omitted telling them in 2012 that he was a Canadian?

29 posted on 03/16/2016 8:06:35 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Jus Soli + Jus Sanguinis = NBC)
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To: Liz
He/ll be lucky if he retains his Senate seat.

Will Texans remember in 2018 that their sitting Senator omitted telling them in 2012 that he was a Canadian?

30 posted on 03/16/2016 8:10:35 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Jus Soli + Jus Sanguinis = NBC)
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To: ASA Vet

31 posted on 03/16/2016 8:28:57 PM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: 1_Rain_Drop; Abbeville Conservative; Abby4116; abigkahuna; adc; Aleya2Fairlie; AllAmericanGirl44; ..

Make America Great Again

Ping!

This ping provides two daily lists of links to Trump-related threads on FR,
to simplify your search for information.
If you are a Trump opponent, you won't be happy here.

To be added to or dropped from this ping list,
post your request on the thread below or freepmail to Albion Wilde.

* * *

Selected Trump articles on FR, with links, from 4:30 PM to 11:59 PM EST, 3/16/16:
Wake up Ted, it's time to make the phone call to Trump –Wayne Allyn Root
Free Republic Caucus 2016 03/17
Anti-Trump video that features women is a fail –Scott Adams (Dilbert)
Bill O'Reilly: Will Donald Trump change his confrontational style? (video)
Hillary Clinton ‘loves’ the idea of appointing Obama to Supreme Court –Wash.Times
Todd Palin's Injuries Required Six Hours of Surgery: Source –People
Ted Cruz vows to mock Trump at AIPAC for skipping Fox News debate –CNN
Trump opts out of next debate, so Fox cancels it –CanadaFreePress
Democrats Beware: Trump Finding Success Well Outside Republican Fringe –LA Times
Black Lives Matter Leader: “Riots Everywhere if Trump Wins” –Jim Hoft
Rich donors have blown $200 million on failed candidates so far –YahooFinance
Rubio’s Exit Leaves Trump With an Open Path to 1,237 Delegates –NYT
Close results in Missouri primary could lead to recounts –The Hill
Missouri GOP releases tentative delegate allocation –The Hill
'I wish Bill O'Reilly would have defended me more with Trump': Megyn Kelly –DailyMail
What We Missed About Rubio –Politico
Foreign governments dump U.S. debt at record rate –CNN
3 charts that show money can't stop Donald Trump –Vox
Kasich in Pennsylvania: Neither Cruz nor Trump can win in November –WaPo
Here's the energy plans of the top 4 presidential candidates –BusinessInsider
Scott of FL endorses Trump –NYT
Trump: Time to rally around me _ or expect voter riots –AP
What happens to delegates won by Marco Rubio, other ex-candidates? –Fox
Cruz says he has a path to victory over Trump, but he needs help soon –WaPo
JEB BUSH POUTS AS DONALD TRUMP ROLLS –Powerline
Cruz Won't Get 'on Bended Knee' for McConnell –Weakly Std
Boehner: If GOP can't agree, he's for Paul Ryan –Lubbock Journal
Boehner Withdraws 2016 Support for Ryan, Backs Kasich until First Vote –Breitbart
Moveon.Org Vows to Continue to Disrupt Trump Rallies –New American
Rubio allies drop lawsuit keeping Kasich from PA primary ballot –Treehouse
Control the rules committee, control the contested convention –Wash.Examiner
Crossover' vote shocks officials in Ohio (video)
Carson on Trump comparing him to a child molester: "It did work" (video)
Voters Deliver Subtle Message: Die Donor Scum –Ann Coulter


32 posted on 03/16/2016 9:18:45 PM PDT by Albion Wilde (Who can actually defeat the Democrats in 2016? -- the most important thing about all candidates.)
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To: Liz

Great news!


33 posted on 03/16/2016 9:29:49 PM PDT by Innovative ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: Impy

I am not sure Rubio has that many more votes to give.
They may have already reassigned themselves.


34 posted on 03/16/2016 9:30:02 PM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: Albion Wilde

Words we want to hear.
PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP
Nothing else will do GOPe you abide by the rules you’ve written or you will see more push back than you have seen in your life. WTP intend on ripping you from your cushy chairs, kicking you smart a$$es, and delivering you from the wealth you and your crony friends have stolen from our America, our children, and future generations. You are finished in this town. If Donald doesn’t get you the new term limits we demand to be put in place will do the job nicely. Serve your time - behind bars. Family can see you on visiting days if they are so inclined.


35 posted on 03/16/2016 9:36:08 PM PDT by V K Lee (u TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP to TRIUMPH Follow the lead MAKE AMERICA GREAT)
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To: Liz

36 posted on 03/16/2016 9:46:19 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: V K Lee

Tell us how you really feel! :-)


37 posted on 03/16/2016 10:49:27 PM PDT by Albion Wilde (Who can actually defeat the Democrats in 2016? -- the most important thing about all candidates.)
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To: Liz; entropy12; DoughtyOne; dartuser; Georgia Girl 2; JBW1949; Guenevere; V K Lee

cRUZ is going to deal one way or the other, with someone. He is not welcome back in the US Senate, loses all his committee appointments and gets the last ticket to anywhere just out of courtesy from here on. Doubt if he even runs for a second senate term. Rubio II.

Cruz is the desperate one now, I should think, and brings nothing to a TRUMP ticket that TRUMP hasn’t already gained on his own and in spades. We are moving North now.

If he plays his face cards right, he will trade his vaunted “ground game” (that gave him five losses last night—northward), for a judicial appointment to the Supreme Court, and perhaps go home and salvage his family (that Heidi drags out at any hour and all hours across time zones to primp and fiddle with them on the camera).

I can not listen to one more of Ted’s pointless repetitive speeches, with those false drama pauses that are endless, and I am quite sure TRUMP can’t. I want to scream, myself.


38 posted on 03/17/2016 12:11:55 AM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: Albion Wilde

Dang, meant to ping you to 38. Thanks for the thread ping!


39 posted on 03/17/2016 12:14:49 AM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: RitaOK

Well said.....and Thank-you!

I agree and you have expressed it very well!!!!
The only difference is I’m not keen on a Supreme Court appoinment for him now....

I believe, by the grace of God and with Trump’s tirelessly hard work, energy, brilliance, planning, sincerity, engaging personality....
....he has won the hearts and minds of millions of people.....with sheer determination....
....and what some would call.....and I sure do.....
A mission....
...to use every resource, every bit of knowledge he has learned to Make America Great Again!
He has said ‘America also needs a cheerleader’

Mr.Trump you are indeed our cheerleader!!!!

Thank-you again Rita!


40 posted on 03/17/2016 2:51:22 AM PDT by Guenevere (If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do....)
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