Do you know Bing predictions for past states?
Bing is often scary accurate. If I worked on the analytics team for Google or Bing I’d be using it to win bets :-)
Going through their prediction history, they have slightly over-estimated Trump wins so far. Still…. I’ll take it.
I really can’t get my hopes up about Ohio (anti-Trump vote consolidating for Kasich), or Missouri (too close to the Cruz cornfield states for comfort).
Still, this will be a great day for Trump!! I can feel it.
I’m not sure how accurate this is, but election betting odds have him winning all but Ohio.
https://electionbettingodds.com/fl.html
I hope he wins Missouri by 50% WTA.
Hover over “predicted winner,” which says they are 34 out of 45.
Bing has been relatively bad. They are 36/45 for all states (Dem and Repub), but have called Trump for everything except Idaho and Texas. So overall they are at 80%, but most of their misses have been on the Republican side.
34/45
34/45
If Trump wins all five states today, then I believe he will win the nomination outright by the end of May.
If he loses OH and IL (OH to Kasich and IL to Cruz) today, then I believe he is vulnerable to Cruz, but it will be close.
Far less likely in that scenario that Cruz wins outright...but possible.
Much more likely that Trump squeaks out a win on June 7th with California going in his favor.
If Cruz somehow pulled off a victory in California, then it would most likely be a brokered convention.