Nate Silver made a point about the "inevitability of a contested convention." He says he doesn't see it. For example, it looks like Trump will win MO by less than 2000 votes, and yet he'll probably walk off with around 42 of 52 delegates. I think my numbers are right, but it's a big margin in comparison to the vote total. Same in IL, where Trump should take well over half.
I’ll be honest, I don’t know what the rules are for a Presidential primary because technically they are a function of the party.
I think if it were a regular election, Cruz would have to pay for the recount. He’d be entitled to ask for one.
However, if you think about it, you’re basically fighting over 12 of 52 delegates and one of your winning districts could be put at risk (CD 4) for five delegates total.
There are probably 2 CDs (CD 1 and 2) that could theoretically flip your way.
With that said, the MO count is lagging by about 100,000 votes on greenpapers, so things could change.