Those polls predicted he would win. Yes I do know how they work. The point I am making is that those polls had Romney narrowly winning the week of the election and he lost by 4%. Those big name polls were taken a day or two before the election and they were off by 5 points. How accurate do you think a poll taken 8 months before an election is? The polls the media are touting now as proof Trump would lose to Hillary are also mostly within MOE and most show Clinton at less than 50%. Show me a poll from July 2015 that accurately predicted Super Tuesday. You can’t because polls 8 months out are worthless. For example, in Feb 1980 there were polls which showed Carter beating Reagan by more than 20 points.