Posted on 02/13/2016 6:58:09 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Convincing victories by political outsiders in New Hampshire demonstrate without doubt that most voters are disgusted with both political parties. The electorate will probably make one of them -- more likely Donald Trump -- the next Commander in Chief.
Since 1976, just one candidate from either party has won in neither Iowa nor New Hampshire -- Bill Clinton in 1992 -- and still won his party's nomination.
While history clearly is not determinative, it can hardly be ignored.
On the Republican side, Trump won by a compelling margin in the Granite State over Iowa winner Ted Cruz -- 36 to 12 percent -- because he did well among both moderates and conservatives and most age categories, except the elderly.
Trump's diverse appeal among Republicans and independents will be tough for Ted Cruz -- who relies principally on religious conservatives and with Rand Paul's departure, libertarians -- to counter beyond southern states. Perhaps not even those places -- he is polling a bad second to Trump in South Carolina.
As for the very moderate Gov. John Kasich -- endorsed in New Hampshire by both the New York Times and Boston Globe -- he devoted enormous resources to that small state. With former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio still in the mix, he won't have the money to mount a successful southern strategy but could do decently enough in many of the 16 states holding contests on or before March 1 to be a kingmaker.
(Excerpt) Read more at tulsaworld.com ...
Its part of the internals in the new Morning Consult poll. Check it out.
. . . "While no candidate is liked by a majority of Americans, Trump's and Bush's ratings are significantly worse at this point than any candidates since 1984 who have won their parties' nominations," writes the Post. "Jeb Bush and Trump's ratings are closer to those of Newt Gingrich in early 2012, who held a -22 net favorable rating in January and -28 rating in March. (Gingrich, of course, lost the nomination fight to Romney.)"
Like I said you are not keeping up with the latest stats. Don’t knock yourself out trying to send me stuff that does not line up with what is happening on the ground in real time. Its jousting at a windmill at this point. The tide is coming in and its for Trump.
Your 67% number is among Republicans only. I am talking about the November electorate.
Well you keep worrying and enjoy the debate tonight. :-)
And you enjoy having a Democrat President for the next four years.
Agreed. And he will win the election. Just as a popularity contest, he has more appeal than her majesty, and certainly more than the Socialist. I kind of hope Hillary wins the Dem nomination, because I think she will "Romney" the Dem voters into staying home on election day.
“I think she will “Romney” the Dem voters into staying home on election day.”
Bingo we have a winner.
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