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To: CA Conservative
I think the inclusion thresholds will put Trump over in a number of states. S.Carolina is Winner take all. AL has a 20% threshold AK 13% AR 15% GA 20% NM 10% OK 15% TN 20% TX 20% (Cruz might win Texas, had a 5 pt lead) VT 20%

It's conceivable Trump will have his 8 by the end of Super Tuesday.

I don't see anybody else getting 8 states.

20 posted on 02/08/2016 8:07:15 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN
I don't see anybody else getting 8 states.

I think Cruz will get his 8 states, but they might include Guam, Puerto Rico, American Samoa, USVI, Northern Marianas, etc. I also think as some of the also-rans drop out, Trump will have a much harder time winning states. Not many who are supporting any of the other candidates are going to move to Trump.

21 posted on 02/08/2016 8:15:33 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: DannyTN

By the way, SC is not winner-take-all, but a hybrid. The at-large delegates are awarded to the overall winner, but the other delegates go to the winner of each congressional district.


24 posted on 02/08/2016 8:20:42 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: DannyTN
-- S.Carolina is Winner take all. --

Almost, but not quite. Each of 7 Congressional districts can split, with the winner in each district getting 3 delegates.

Otherwise, you are right, the candidate getting the most votes statewide gets 29 delegates for that, and whatever share of the 21 delegates is obtained by winning congressional districts.

South Carolina Republican Delegation 2016

36 posted on 02/09/2016 4:47:17 AM PST by Cboldt
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