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Fun with numbers: The real story behind the 4.9% unemployment report
American Thinker ^ | 02/06/2016 | Rick Moran

Posted on 02/06/2016 5:24:15 PM PST by SeekAndFind

On the surface, the January jobs numbers appear to be "not bad."  There were 151,000 jobs created, and the official unemployment rate dropped below 5%.

But the story inside the numbers is really, really awful.  The Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates job creation and loss using two different measurements: the Current Population Survey and "Establishment" data from the Current Employment Statistics.  Usually, the two measurements are roughly the same. 

But how do you explain this, BLS?

Consider these BLS numbers based on household data. In January, there were 25,328,000 "foreign born" workers employed, a one-month drop of 98,000.

In January, there were 123,710,000 "native born" men and women employed, a one-month drop of 567,000.

Analysts note that there are several ways to count jobs created and lost but the losses shown among men and women, foreign born and immigrants, is significant, said a congressional expert, who told Secrets, "Maybe big thing this month is just the decline in number of native born workers drops over half million in a month?"

That means that the actual number of jobs created was about 650,000.  What kind of jobs were they?  Zero Hedge Blog refers to the "Waiter and Bartender Recovery" an apt way to describe the fact that 70% of those jobs are minimum-wage positions.

Marketwatch thinks the numbers are "fishy":

Manufacturing mojo?

By virtually all accounts, U.S. manufacturers are struggling to grow amid a decline in exports and a big drop in demand among energy producers. Yet the industry supposedly added 29,000 new jobs in January to mark the biggest gain in 14 months.

Believable? Many economists are skeptical. And even if the job increases are real, some predict hiring will slow again next month.


(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: jobs; unemployment

1 posted on 02/06/2016 5:24:15 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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2 posted on 02/06/2016 5:30:17 PM PST by DoughtyOne (the Free Republic Caucus: what FReepers are thinking, 100s or 1000s of them. It's up to you.)
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To: SeekAndFind

To be unexpectedly readjusted two weeks from now. On a Friday evening.


3 posted on 02/06/2016 5:30:24 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (I shot Schroedinger's cat with Chekhov's gun.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

4 posted on 02/06/2016 5:32:14 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind


5 posted on 02/06/2016 5:34:34 PM PST by Iron Munro (The wise have stores of choice food and oil but a foolish man devours all he has. Proverbs 21:20)
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To: SeekAndFind

Our government would NOT lie to us. /s


6 posted on 02/06/2016 5:37:13 PM PST by ataDude (Its like 1933, mixed with the Carter 70s, plus the books 1984 and Animal Farm, all at the same time.)
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To: ataDude

My policy is to ignore any Government statistic since 1992. The formulas are cooked and nobody wants to make them right.


7 posted on 02/06/2016 5:56:38 PM PST by Wingy
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To: ataDude

I am in agreement.

I have seen the Zapruder film and trust that heads shot from behind fall back into the bullet.

I have walked the Oswald trail after the assassination within the time allowed and verified that no matter how unlikely the sprint that Oswald had to be in, Arlen Specter’s magic bullet is all that could have happened and a Dallas DA being at the theater for the arrest is 100% likely in light of a President being assassinated less than 120 minutes prior.

I am in total agreement.

No such thing as gas lighting.

Move along. Nothing to see. These are not the droids we are looking for


8 posted on 02/06/2016 5:57:13 PM PST by Dryman (Define Natural Born Citizen)
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To: SeekAndFind
Seems that Rick Moran knows a lot more about getting stuff published than he does about economics.  My bet is thst he got his BLS numbers from other pundits; here are the numbers straight from the BLS [click to enjarge]:

Moran wonders about the affect of the Holiday season on the employment increase but reality is that the jobs increase is the result of the adjustment the BLS did to remove the holiday affect.  Looking at the "Not seasonally adjusted" column shows a 666,000 drop in employment and a rising unemployment rate up to 5.3.

9 posted on 02/06/2016 6:17:11 PM PST by expat_panama
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To: SeekAndFind

Ever played pick up stix?

Euphemistically, pulling one brick out of our great country by a gay-taqiyya-talking-muzlim-commie...

May the Lord smite him and his posse.


10 posted on 02/06/2016 6:46:10 PM PST by CincyRichieRich (We are being Gaslighted.)
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To: CincyRichieRich

If a person has two part time jobs are they counted by Obama as two employed Americans?


11 posted on 02/06/2016 7:33:18 PM PST by topfile
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To: SeekAndFind

The real unemployment number is about 22%.


12 posted on 02/06/2016 8:37:42 PM PST by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: SeekAndFind

I suspect they’ll find a way to make sure there are no upticks in unemployment while Obama is in office.


13 posted on 02/06/2016 10:34:15 PM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: SeekAndFind

That number will continue to go down to 4.5%, which economists usually define as “full employment”. Then expect the half breed to boast that “everybody who wants a job has one.”

“Recession is when your neighbor loses his job. Depression is when you lose yours. And recovery is when Jimmy Carter loses his.” Ronald Reagan Substite Democrats and GOPe, and it equally applies today.


14 posted on 02/07/2016 4:17:08 AM PST by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners. And to the NSA trolls, FU)
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