Posted on 02/05/2016 2:03:41 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
Currently tracking 11 polls from 6 pollsters - Updated 12 days ago Election on March 1, 2016
Pollster Trend
Ted Cruz 36.2%
Donald Trump 30.1%
Marco Rubio 8.4%
Ben Carson 5.0%
Jeb Bush 4.7%
Chris Christie 1.7%
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina 1.0%
John Kasich 1.0%
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore 0.0%
Lindsey Graham
George Pataki
Rick Perry
Scott Walker
Undecided
Interactive tracking graph:
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.huffingtonpost.com ...
At the Huffington source there is a list of the polls used for this "tracking" poll.
It's been 12 days since this site was updated. Their last entry from CBS/YouGov had Cruz up 15 points over Trump.
Here is the latest - as yet to be included in the Huffington Poll - from a the KTVT-TV/Dixie Strategies survey [a poll source used in the tracking poll] that shows Cruz at 30% to Trump's 25% - a sizable rise in that Dixie Strategies survey from their previous poll that had Cruz at 14% and Trump at 22%.
So in the Dixie survey, Cruz has gone from 14% to 30%, more than doubling his support, while Trump has moved up 3.
It's interesting, besides Sen. Ted Cruz running in the 2016 GOP Primary, there have been 3 other Texans in the race, if you include Jeb! by association with the Bush Machine here in Texas, and Rand Paul's strong connection with Ron Paul/Texas, and for awhile Gov. Rick Perry:
Remaining from Texas - and Texas money and muscle:
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
"Super Tuesday in the 2016 election cycle is scheduled to be held on March 1, 2016. This date has been dubbed the "SEC Primary", since many of the participating states are represented in the U.S. collegiate Southeastern Conference.
The participating SEC "Super Tuesday" states include:
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Colorado caucuses
Georgia
Massachusetts
Minnesota caucuses
North Dakota Republican caucuses
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia
Wyoming Republican caucuses
Speaking of Bushes:
Feb 4, 2016, Derry, N.H. - “I really didn’t plan on this,” Barbara Bush said, introducing her son Jeb Bush to the crowd gathered for a town hall at a middle school here.
It was the first time the matriarch of the Bush family has hit the trail with her son since he announced his presidential bid, and her appearance - played in by the Beach Boys’ “Barbara Ann” - comes as he is looking to reverse his fading fortunes and score a win in New Hampshire.
“Jeb is the nicest, wisest, most caring, loyal, disciplined, that’s good. Not by me. But he’s not a bragger, we don’t allow that, but he’s decent and honest. He’s everything we need in a president.”
Barbara Bush’s introduction kicked off an hour and a half in which Bush fully embraced the family name. “I’m part of the establishment because I’m Barbara Bush’s son. I embrace that each and every day. I’m proud of my dad, I’m proud of my brother, I’m proud of being a Bush.”
But it was also an hour and a half rife with some of the stranger and funnier remarks I’ve heard at a town hall. Below, the most entertaining moments of Jeb’s appearance in Derry:
Why do they call it the “SEC” super Tuesday primary?
Is that in reference to the college football conference? I’ve never heard it before now - maybe I missed it..
I only see 3 SEC states there.. well, I guess Texas is SEC now with A&M.. but I’ll always consider Texas a Big12 State..
Hook em Horns..
Doh - 4, I missed Tenn..
LOL.
Lib HQ, you must feel right at home.
What polls do you use?
It's not the polls, it's your source.
Stay over there, Cincy? You and Arianna could be the new Whoopi and Rosie.
CBS/YouGov
U of TX/Texas Tribune
Dixie Strategies (R)/KTVT-CBS 11
Texas Lyceum
Opinion Savvy
PPP
There isn't anything near the polling being done in the Texas primary like there is in the earlier states or those "national" polls.
The latest national poll - PPP [Feb 4, 2016]:
"PPP's newest national poll finds the race on the Republican side tightening considerably in the wake of Donald Trump's surprise loss in Iowa on Monday night. Trump's lead has fallen to just 4 points - he's at 25% to 21% each for Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, 11% for Ben Carson, 5% each for Jeb Bush, John Kasich, and the now departed Rand Paul, 3% each for Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina, and 1% for Jim Gilmore. Rick Santorum had literally zero supporters on our final poll including him."...........
This is Trump - the insult machine.
After Rosie O. called him a “snake oil salesman” he rants for TWO minutes on Entertainment Tonight.
The only reason I know that this video/audio exists is that I heard it run yesterday - in full, on a local radio station.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d32577Hom08
He gets this worked up over Rosie O’Donnell?
This isn’t White House material.
NPR?
Let's not pretend your creepy obsession is about Trump, hon.
I don’t surprise me if Trump comes out atop; clearly there is a personal and visceral hate of Cruz by GOPe members everywhere they’ll stop him for sure.
That may well be true, but Cruz has the people.
Ted Cruz’s Appeal to Blue-Collar Voters
9:20 AM, Feb 03, 2016 | By Jeffrey H. Anderson
In the aftermath of the 2012 election, conservatives/Republicans generally split into two camps about where the movement or party needed to head next. One camp thought the key was to do a better job of making the case for conservative principles and policies (and to do a better job of developing specific policies consistent with conservative principles), especially to Main Street Americans, many of whom are blue-collar voters.
This camp was particularly frustrated with Mitt Romney’s failure to fight on the issue of Obamacare or to champion a conservative alternative to it, and it argued that Republicans couldn’t win national elections without advancing a conservative message that would appeal to the old Reagan Democrats.
In the aftermath of the 2012 election, conservatives/Republicans generally split into two camps about where the movement or party needed to head next. One camp thought the key was to do a better job of making the case for conservative principles and policies (and to do a better job of developing specific policies consistent with conservative principles), especially to Main Street Americans, many of whom are blue-collar voters.
This camp was particularly frustrated with Mitt Romney’s failure to fight on the issue of Obamacare or to champion a conservative alternative to it, and it argued that Republicans couldn’t win national elections without advancing a conservative message that would appeal to the old Reagan Democrats. It blamed the 2012 loss squarely on Romney’s shoulders (and on the shoulders of those who failed to answer the bell and thus gave Romney an open path to the nomination).
A second camp maintained that Romney’s defeat was the nearly unavoidable result of changing racial demographics, and it set out to pursue open-borders immigration “reform,” more lenient criminal-sentencing policies, and the like, in an effort to try to negate, or at least to minimize, Democrats’ success at playing racial-identity politics. Apart from these targeted efforts, which largely seemed designed to exonerate Romney and his allies, this camp showed little interest in changing the way Republicans do business.
As has been widely reported, Donald Trump’s appeal has mostly been to blue-collar voters, and he has risen to the top of the polls by blasting open-border immigration policies and the business-as-usual way of Republican-and American-politics. It is therefore striking that the Iowa entrance polling suggests that Trump lost among blue-collar voters (or, more specifically, among voters without college degrees) to Ted Cruz.
According to entrance polling, among the roughly half of all Republican voters without a college degree, Cruz won 30 percent of the vote, eclipsing Trump’s 28 percent. Marco Rubio was a distant third, winning the support of just 17 percent of voters without college degrees. Cruz did 5 points better among voters without college degrees than among college grads (30 percent to 25 percent), while, among all candidates included in the entrance polling (Cruz, Trump, Rubio, Ben Carson, Hillary Clinton, and Bernie Sanders), Rubio was the candidate who had the lowest portion of his support come from those without college degrees—he did 10 points worse among voters without college degrees than among college grads (17 to 27 percent).
According to the entrance polling, Cruz also fared better than Trump or Rubio among younger voters. Among voters under the age of 30, Cruz won 26 percent of the vote to Rubio’s 23 percent and Trump’s 20 percent. Among voters in their 30s and early 40s, Cruz won 30 percent of the vote to Trump’s 23 percent and Rubio’s 21 percent. (Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton got clobbered among younger voters, winning less than 30 percent of the vote among those under the age of 45.)
Cruz’s strong numbers among blue-collar voters lend credence to his expressed determination, emphasized in his victory speech, to win Reagan Democrats back into the Republican fold. Cruz could certainly do more to appeal to such voters—for example, he could champion a winning Obamacare alternative, a move that would also help convince GOP primary voters that a Cruz nomination could result in an electoral win in 2016 and a huge policy win in 2017. Yet, even already, Cruz’s appeal to blue-collar voters has helped him notch an impressive win in a crucial state.
Jeffrey H. Anderson is a Hudson Institute senior fellow.
Web Link: http://www.weeklystandard.com/article/2000884
They hate Trump to!
The 1 percent in TX for Kasich must be the number of transplanted Ohioans who say they will vote in the Republican primary.
I’m only seeing advertising from Rubio, using Trump and Cruz’s words against each other,
This Texan has only heard Trump of supporters. No other name has been mentioned.
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