Excellant analysis.
Your points on Trump are well taken. Trump doing things his way didn’t work in Iowa but most of us expected Cruz to win there for reasons you point out. And you’re right, Cruz fans will not see the light until the guy is horribly discredited because they see him as a religious leader more than a politician. Baring a Jim Bakker episode they’ll ride him straight into the ground.
NH and SC will tell the tale on Trump. Fight on!
Because they think that someday - SOMEDAY - it'll finally work out right.
Mr. niteowl77