Posted on 02/02/2016 10:30:41 AM PST by Talisker
DES MOINES, Iowa - One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Monday's Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.
A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.
In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.
Now, get ready to do some math.
In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.
But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.
The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator†has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other.
You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim.
Clinton’s final statewide delegate count was 699.57, according to the Iowa Democratic Party. Sanders’ was 695.49.
Shes good at cattle futures too.
I was thinking about that same thing. And then to turn around and lose on the next flip to boot!
You should see her play the Cattle Futures.
Good one!
Here’s something funny. I read the headline to my son and said you believe that, he said, “no.”
I said, “I’ll tell ya what I’ll give you $100 if you can flip a coin and get heads 6 times in a row.”
It was funny because he said very enthusiactally “OK”
I first said, “I’m not gonna sit here all day watching you flip that 1/4”
It was funny, heads then tails, then he said “forget it and quit.”
I wonder why they even bothered to screw around with this caucus nonsense. They should have had just one “coin toss” that included all precincts and it could have been over in seconds with an undisputed “winner”.
Same as her “luck” in cattle futures investment. Pure chronic criminal.
50-some voting precincts in Philly in 2012 and not a single Romney vote recorded. This is nothing.
Every coin toss takes place in a vacuum. The chances of every toss are essentially 50/50.
I say essentially because the coin will tend to land a little more often on the side that is up when it was flipped.
If they "spun" the coin rather then toss it chances are the result will be tails.
Flip a coin and tell me how many tosses it took for you to run six consecutive outcomes.
Kind of like her cattle futures luck.
She should just buy a Powerball ticket and retire.
You just have to know how to do the flip.
Did they use the same coin and the same flipper every time?
Wow. Democracy in America.
If you turn $1,000 into $2,000, your rate of return is 100%, or over EIGHT times better than average for common stock in one year.
If you turn $1,000 into $100,000 as Hillary did in cattle futures, then your return is 100,000% —mind-blowing for a pro, but for a rank BEGINNER...?
That’s like a 5-year-old T-ball reject walking into Yankee Stadium and slamming 10 home runs in a pro game.
And she didn’t do it trading stock —she did it on COMMODITIES.
If trading common stock is smoking pot, then commodities trading is smoking crack in crack-smoking competition. Even people who trade stocks for 30 years usually never trade commodities, for which the risks are far, far higher.
But that hillary did this for less than one year and turned $1,000 into $100,000 —this is treated as almost nothing.
These coin tosses are NOTHING NEW for Hillary —she has been let off of stuff like this for DECADES.
If she becomes Prez whe will do this type of thing NON-STOP.
Like her $1,000 investment in cattle futures paid off to the tune of $100,000.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hillary_Rodham_cattle_futures_controversy
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/special/whitewater/stories/wwtr940527.htm
I had a friend who was sleight-of-hand artist who could win a coin flip every time with a 50-cent piece or larger. He showed me how it was done but it takes practice and quick and nimble fingers, so I could never master the trick.
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