[alloysteel]

Maybe The Donald won’t lose so very big in Iowa, as predicted, but the Iowa caucus has not been much of a reliable predictor of later electoral success in actual votes, not simply caucus settings, which are fluid up until almost the last moment before the caucus vote is taken.

Then again, there are decisions that go into the selections either at a caucus, or in the voting booth, that are the sum total of plenty of factors, some of which may not even get taken into account by the pundits and pollsters.

The real surprise will be when Bernie Sanders grabs off the lead from Herself, and sets into motion a whole series of rethinking and reconsiderations among the Democrats.

[mkjessup]

You raise a salient point about Iowa that keeps getting overlooked, which is that the Iowa caucuses are little more than the collective egos of corn growers screaming for attention, and when the King of RINOs (ol' Poppy Bush and his 'Big Mo' yammering) won Iowa in 1980, Ronald Reagan shook up his campaign staff, fired his manager John Sears, brought in Bill Casey, and the Gipper kicked GHWB's preppie ass all the way to the convention.

Those who put all of their hopes and dreams into whatever results come out of Iowa are usually in for a rude awakening.