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America Isn't Growing More Liberal; It's Growing More Polarized
National Review ^ | 12/29/2015 | David French

Posted on 12/29/2015 5:48:34 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Writing in The Atlantic, Peter Beinart has launched yet another debate about America's ideological direction. Asserting that the country is becoming more liberal, Beinart argues that Occupy and Black Lives Matter activists have commandeered the national debate far more effectively than the radicals of the past, to the point that the next Democratic president is likely to be more liberal than Barack Obama and the next Republican president more liberal than George W. Bush. I think not. All evidence suggests that America is growing both more liberal and more conservative. The Left is moving Left, and the Right is moving Right.

From Bill Clinton to Al Gore to John Kerry to Barack Obama, each successive Democratic presidential nominee has run either slightly or substantially to the Left of his predecessor, and the party has won the popular vote in five of the last six national elections. Americans have moved left on sexual issues with astonishing speed, growing supportive of gay marriage and transgender rights in just a few years' time. Young voters increasingly express support for socialist policies, and the polls record widespread support for immigrants and immigrant rights. The average Democratic legislator is more liberal than at any time in recent memory. For a movement liberal, the future looks bright indeed.

Following the explosive growth of the Tea Party, a movement that explicitly rejects big-government conservatism, Republicans control more elected offices than at any time in modern history. The Democrats have endured more electoral defeats under President Obama than Republicans did in the years after Watergate. Support for life is holding steady, with some evidence even suggesting that young people are more pro-life than their parents. State legislatures continue to pass pro-life legislation at a record-setting pace. Support for gun rights is increasing. Even Millennials support putting boots on the ground to fight ISIS. The 2016 Republican race appears likely to come down to a battle between first-generation tea-party conservative Marco Rubio and second-generation tea-party conservative Ted Cruz, both of whom still currently trail Donald Trump, who's raced to the top of the primary polls by moving to the right of every other candidate on immigration. The average Republican legislator is more conservative than at any time in recent memory. For a movement conservative, the future looks bright indeed.

What remains clear is that America is more politically polarized than ever. The Left is growing more Left, and the Right is growing more Right. This is entirely consistent with other patterns, including the polarization of American religious practice, which is so pronounced that “nones" -- those unaffiliated with any faith -- and Evangelicals are on pace to soon become the two largest religious demographics in the country. America is growing both more secular and more religious, more liberal and more conservative. The middle is vanishing.

Beyond increasing ideological and religious polarization -- trends that are mutually reinforcing -- America is geographically polarized to an extent that makes enduring majorities even harder to construct. Presidential races are fought in a shrinking number of battleground states, with the ideological cocoons of large urban centers and Red America leading partisans on both sides to overestimate their strength. For every conservative who believes the path to electoral success lies in consolidating the vast conservative base, there is a liberal who believes the path to electoral success lies in consolidating the progressive masses. Depending on the skill of a given candidate and the structural dynamics of a given election year, either argument could be correct.

The truly interesting question isn't whether America is becoming more conservative or more liberal, but whether there is any single significant cultural, religious, or political trend that is pulling this nation together rather than yanking it apart. The alleged gay-rights consensus has given way to new conflict over religious freedom, a cause that has united a broad swath of conservative Americans. Failed gun-control measures have given way to increasingly extremist rhetoric about confiscation, with progressives laying the political groundwork for an unprecedented level of state coercion. Left and Right are increasingly speaking different languages to culturally distinct populations.

Our nation's shared love for Star Wars can take us only so far, and polarization can't continue indefinitely without truly significant fault lines emerging in American culture. To a liberal living in Manhattan, the facts on the ground confirm a progressive view of reality. To a conservative living in Tennessee, the real ideological competition and real energy both seem to be on the right. A nation that respects federalism and core constitutional liberties can survive and even thrive in the face of profound ideological divisions. But what if the Left isn't content to let Tennessee be Tennessee or to allow Christian institutions to be Christian? Then the political stakes will be raised, polarization will increase, and America will move into some truly perilous waters.

-- David French is an attorney and a staff writer at National Review.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservative; liberal; polarization
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1 posted on 12/29/2015 5:48:34 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

she’s right. trump and Cruz are far left of GWB. /ridiculous s for a ridiculous comment


2 posted on 12/29/2015 5:50:53 AM PST by dp0622 (i)
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To: SeekAndFind

The left is dying out and only succeeds on sustaining its numbers by corrupting others children to believe in their garbage.


3 posted on 12/29/2015 5:54:54 AM PST by Shadow44
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To: dp0622

Did you read the piece or just skim it? The author, David French, is saying that Beinart, the author of another piece said that....then French went on to say why Beinart is wrong. Thus the author of this piece is agreeing with you...

FReeper’s reading comprehension seems to be at an all time low lately.


4 posted on 12/29/2015 5:56:18 AM PST by Axeslinger (Where has my country gone?)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Left needs the Right to pay for its programs. The Right doesn’t need the Left for anything. This should scare the Left. The fact that it does not, is the Right’s fault.


5 posted on 12/29/2015 5:56:26 AM PST by ameribbean expat
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To: SeekAndFind

Interesting article.

I think the article is most correct at the end. The problem isn’t that we’re a nation going in different cultural directions. The problem is that Tennessee would be quite content to let New York be New York, but New York will not be content to let Tennessee be Tennessee. And that’s been our biggest problem for more than a century.


6 posted on 12/29/2015 5:57:16 AM PST by chrisser (This space for rent.)
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To: Shadow44
The left is dying out and only succeeds on sustaining its numbers by corrupting others children to believe in their garbage.

And stuffing the ballot box with the dead vote, the felon vote, the alien vote, and the multi voter vote.

They own the gay vote, the wiccan vote, the druggie vote, the abortion vote, and the teen vote.

7 posted on 12/29/2015 5:58:11 AM PST by DungeonMaster (Today harlots would let Solomon cut their babies in half.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The right is not moving more right. It’s just that the left is moving so far left that the distance between the two is increasing. The right is digging in its heals, and is mad as hell and not taking it anymore. To the liberal media, that makes it look like we are moving right.


8 posted on 12/29/2015 5:58:49 AM PST by Daveinyork ("Trusting government with money and power is like trusting teenaged boys with whiskey and car keys",)
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To: SeekAndFind
from the article: "What remains clear is that America is more politically polarized than ever.
The Left is growing more Left, and the Right is growing more Right."

And that is the Big Lie, the great narrative deception practiced especially by the Left, but also by establishment Republicans.
The simple truth is, the real facts are: the Right has not moved, not now, not ever.
Indeed, that's why we are called "conservatives" because above all, we wish to conserve what is the best from our inherited legacy, i.e., the Bible, the Constitution.

So we don't move (much), not now, not ever.
Only the Left constantly moves changing positions like clothing fashions, they move from opposition to "don't ask, don't tell" to mandatory acceptance of any deviancy you can imagine.
In the mean time, Conservatives are just where we've always been, trying to conserve both our religious values and our Constitution.

So don't let them tell you, "the right is moving further right", we're not moving anywhere.
It's the Left which is going berserk...

9 posted on 12/29/2015 6:00:09 AM PST by BroJoeK (a little historical perspective...)
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To: dp0622

With the probable exceptions of this cycle and George W., there is a Republican pattern: Bush was left of Reagan, Dole left of Bush, McCain to the left of Dole in many ways, and Mittens to the left of McCain. Even George W. is arguably fiscally fairly left, given that he had Congress and let deficits continue to roll.


10 posted on 12/29/2015 6:00:27 AM PST by Hieronymus ( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G. K. Chesterton))
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To: SeekAndFind

I agree with this article and one of just a few reasons why I desperately fear for the republic. Personally, I think if the current ideological divide were also easily geographically divided (a la 1860), we would already be shooting. The only thing preventing it now is that we are all so interspersed with each other.


11 posted on 12/29/2015 6:00:56 AM PST by Axeslinger (Where has my country gone?)
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To: SeekAndFind

I do know quite a few former lefties who have snapped out of their hypnotic stupor after being unable to find a job and seeing how high the Obamcare premiums have risen. I sincerely believe far more have moved right than left the past few years; its just that the leftist MSM has control of the viewable content that we see on our TV and computer screens for the moment.


12 posted on 12/29/2015 6:02:46 AM PST by jsanders2001
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To: Axeslinger

Agreed right.


13 posted on 12/29/2015 6:03:14 AM PST by the_individual2014
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To: Shadow44
The left is dying out and only succeeds on sustaining its numbers by corrupting others children to believe in their garbage.

And by helping other America Haters to stream through our open borders and join them in destroying the country.


14 posted on 12/29/2015 6:03:27 AM PST by Iron Munro (The wise have stores of choice food and oil but a foolish man devours all he has. Proverbs 21:20)
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To: SeekAndFind

A cultural and political divide this wide will only lead to the thing that always occurs...finally...bloodshed!


15 posted on 12/29/2015 6:04:09 AM PST by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: chrisser
> The problem is that Tennessee would be quite content to let New York be New York, but New York will not be content to let Tennessee be Tennessee. And that’s been our biggest problem for more than a century.

^ excellent articulation of the analogy.

16 posted on 12/29/2015 6:04:55 AM PST by jsanders2001
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To: Shadow44

Their strategy now is the mass importation of 3rd World vagrants and illegals.

With that in mind, they’ll soon have the numbers to beat us.


17 posted on 12/29/2015 6:05:56 AM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
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To: Axeslinger

i’m referring to Beinart.

why did you assume otherwise?


18 posted on 12/29/2015 6:09:22 AM PST by dp0622 (i)
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To: SeekAndFind
Socialism is an easy sell:

Socialism: Look at all of the beautiful places to live that you'll never be able to afford because the rich own them.

Capitalism: One day you may also be one of the rich.

The left leaves out the fact that in socialism you will be living in a "project" and will own nothing especially not a gun.

19 posted on 12/29/2015 6:09:25 AM PST by DungeonMaster (Today harlots would let Solomon cut their babies in half.)
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To: Axeslinger

actually, now sure why you assumed that AT ALL, except to back your second comment


20 posted on 12/29/2015 6:11:12 AM PST by dp0622 (i)
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