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Posted on 12/08/2015 7:10:26 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
If all 68 percent of those "Trump or bust" likely Republican voters are telling the truth about sticking with him if he runs third-party, we're looking at something like 17-20 percent of the total vote next November going to Trump, way more than enough to wreck the GOP's chances. Even if half of them end up deciding to either stay home or vote for the Republican nominee in the interest of beating Hillary, that's still upwards of 10 percent breaking away.
There are X factors, though. One X factor is Trump's dynamism on the stump. If he campaigned aggressively as a third-party nominee, with the sort of frequent big rallies he's doing now, the contrast with Hillary's "low energy" campaign and whatever the GOP nominee is doing might drive extra votes to him. I wouldn't put it past him to get 25 percent, especially if he finally opens his wallet to buy ads and build a national organization.
But that'll be countered by another X factor: It's hard to predict how much free airtime the media will continue to give him during a general election. Letting him on the air to ramble for half an hour about barring Muslims is a perfectly sensible thing for MSNBC to do right now, when the GOP is at each other's throats. The more he talks, the more divided their enemy is.
If he went third-party, they'd have to think more carefully. I assume they'd double down early in the general election campaign by giving him a blank check to talk on the air about whatever he likes, hoping to drive attention away from the GOP nominee and towards Trump in the name of splitting the vote. If he really took off, though, and began to threaten Hillary, they'd cut him off.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
If that happens, it will be President-elect Biden in 2016.
Oh. It’s close to 100%
You’re absolutely right and besides.....these are VERY different times !
The GOP could’ve been a contender. All they had to do was stand for God, life, family, constitution, country, liberty. How hard is that?
Nonsense !
The FBI will end the Clinton campaign and Biden will be brought back to save the day for the Democrats.
Third parties = Socialism.
I said this guy was a train wreck. I was right.
This guy has zero chance to be potus.
Anybody doesn’t think so is delusional.
Who cares at this point?
I refuse to vote for anyone other than Cruz or Trump. The rest can forget it. If the GOP runs them out...they run me out.
“I said this guy was a train wreck. I was right.
This guy has zero chance to be potus.
Anybody doesn’t think so is delusional.”
Trump has been leading in polls and dominating the media for months and you say he has zero chance. You are the one who is delusional.
The GOP shouldn’t attack Trump,,,as they haven’t bothered to attack Obama or any of the Dems.
Thanks for your insight Karl.
When 36% of registered Republicans nationally say there is no way they will vote for him? He has no chance.
Music to Hillary’s ears.
If he runs as an independent he gives the presidency to Hillary. If he runs as an independent then he is a no better a narcissist than Obama. If you would vote for him then you are no better than the typical Ron Paul wacko supporter. He just may be the best chance this country has to right the ship but not as a “turd” party candidate.
There are plenty of people with zero chance, Graham, Pataki, Kasich, Bush, Christie, Huckabee, Santorum, Paul, Fiorina
Cruz, Carson, Rubio and Trump are leading.
While the politicos and pundits are hyperventilating over Trump’s “divisiveness”, the people are cheering.
So you would vote for whatever cheese sandwich has the R jersey on instead of the best chance to right the ship?
Yeb! - Hillary! - Trump
No brainer
Trump wins
The Corrupt Republican party will deny Trump the Nomination regardless of how we vote. Go third party now, while you can qualify in all states. The Republicans are not fixable, they need to be destroyed.
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