Posted on 11/22/2015 6:14:52 AM PST by VinL
Trump just announced on his twitter account that he is being interviewed is morning by George Steppenalloverus and that a new abc poll has Trump way out in front and beating Hillary.
Yep, Cruz is perfectly positioned at this point. He’s getting the people that were blindly supporting Carson, and finally. Rubio is also getting Bush’s support...but there was never that much to begin with, so Rubio will soon reach his plateau, somewhat lower than Cruz. Trump, of course, will stay on top.
A new CBS/Battleground poll out today -
Trump 30%
Cruz 21%
Carson 19%
No doubt. There was an article that showed he is getting 60% less coverage than a candidate in his position should garner. It's obvious the media fears Trump and Cruz - they attack Trump directly - because he's impossible to ignore - and they try to ignore Cruz - because they have no valid attacks.
We’ll see there’s a lot of primary left, in fact not a single vote has been cast.
As long as GOPe consultants see a way to money for themselves, Jeb will be alive.
Carson has gone down due to his inability to know or even understand foreign policy. That and him saying Puerto Rico should be a state, his relationship with a certain louis Farrakhan, and his gun comments.
Apparently Cruz strategy is to peak in 2016. He doesn’t need people pushing him to the top too soon.
We will see, I mostly make that posting for the GOPe, so they GET THE MESSAGE.
But I do base it on the fact that other than Cruz, the people that could have taken him out have now been tested and found to come up short...and I almost think that Cruz would rather be VP at this point, as the next president will have to do some really ugly things to straighten out this place, and it’s not in his nature.
Cruz comments on Puerto Rico have been the conservative position since WWII. They didn’t hurt him.
His inability to appear to be a strong leader on foreign policy post Paris definitely hurt him. Trump, Rubio, Cruz all seem to be picking up some former Carson supporters.
Fiorina (the other non-politician) and the others at the bottom do not seem to be picking up any Carson supporters.
That means they have no hope of rising.
| Poll | Date |
Trump
|
Carson
|
Rubio
|
Cruz
|
Bush
|
Fiorina
|
Huckabee
|
Christie
|
Kasich
|
Paul
|
Graham
|
Pataki
|
Santorum
|
Jindal
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 11/15 - 11/19 | 27.5 | 19.8 | 12.5 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | Trump +7.7 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 11/16 - 11/19 | 28 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -- | Trump +10 |
| ABC/Wash PostABC/WP | 11/16 - 11/19 | 32 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Trump +10 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 11/16 - 11/17 | 26 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +7 |
| BloombergBloomberg | 11/15 - 11/17 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
perhaps better that he was ignored—
New Iowa poll out today has Trump 30% Cruz 21% Carson 19%
(Forgot to state in my last post that it was an Iowa poll not national)
Iowa could go Cruz, they like religious guys. If Cruz or Trump wins Iowa and Trump wins New Hampshire then Carson is out.
If Rubio loses in his own state to Trump, he is a garner.
If Cruz loses in Texas to Trump he is VP material only.
If anyone doesn’t agree with my analysis tell me why
| Sep | Oct | Now | |
| Trump | 33 | 32 | 32 |
| Carson | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| Rubio | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| Cruz | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| Bush | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Pretty much agree with you, except I would say that if Trump wins Iowa...it’s over for everyone else. Also I don’t see Cruz making any moves in the national polls...he’s been stuck in single digits for months. So at this point, I don’t like his chance of winning the nomination.
New Washington Post poll to be highlighted on ABC with George Stapnanennensplus this morning.
11/22 Washington Post/ABC News poll
Donald Trump 32%
Ben Carson 22%
Marco Rubio 11%
Ted Cruz 8%
Others under 4%
#Trump2016
“and his gun comments.”
Don’t forget trying to hit mama in the head with a hammer.
Today I am calling on the below nine candidates to withdraw from the race. I’ve emailed all of them. I’m certain they’ll follow my advice. I also won the the Daytona 500 last year and saw Bigfoot in the back yard about five minutes ago.
Bush
Fiorina
Huckabee
Christie
Kasich
Paul
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
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