As I recall, our arch-enemy Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com used polls to make the correct call in every state and D.C. in the 2012 election.
Polling isn’t quite a science but done right it can be pretty good. It can also be done bad. Very bad.
I used to pick up some extra cash, working for a polling/marketing agency.
Long vetting process to get signed up, and just a few proffered requests each year for my opinion services, but on balance, it seemed the agency delivered a high quality product for the companies that sought and paid for their services.
Political polling?
Random people who answer questions via calls from a strange phone number?
Yeah...that’s valuable.LOL!
True, but he badly missed BR, Israel, and I don’t think he did well in 2014 midterms-—but am happy to be corrected on that.