I’m in GA so I have no inside info on that race. It’s close and Republicans often do better than polls suggest. A lot, though, depends on the level of voter fraud. Maybe McConnell is finally so unpopular that people vote for Bevin as a proxy protest?
[The reason I pestered McConnell is that as Majority Leader he grates my nerves off the charts. If I lived in Kentucky...I’d likely move. ;) ]
Vote fraud here is not a serious problem as far as I know. Conway is a little ahead in most polls. He has run a very dirty campaign. Nasty. Bevin has done a poor job of repudiating the completely fabricated slander. He’s a good guy, would make a good governor. But a poor campaigner.
I’ve lived in GA, I like it better here. Sadly, there is nowhere to get truly free from the disease of liberalism.