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To: C19fan

This will change again when Beef prices come back down... which will be a while.


4 posted on 10/05/2015 7:35:26 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

14 after years of drought whittled the U.S. cattle herd down to a six-decade low.

Function of cost, not preference. Once Cattle numbers get back up to where they need to be prices will come down and consumption will go up.

$3 or $4 a lb for low end ground beef is all you need to know about why folks are choosing something else right now.


5 posted on 10/05/2015 7:38:01 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

Maybe not.

Beef is a premium product in a world market, and the dollar is being devalued. Also, the US government and MSM intend to make beef production as difficult and expensive as possible, for the sake of Mother Gaia.


18 posted on 10/05/2015 7:48:18 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: HamiltonJay

There is a cycle in the pricing of the various sources of animal protein. For beef, the length is something like eleven years. With prices as high as they are now, the breeders of beef cattle are encouraged to breed up still more cattle, in which instance they hold back all the heifers being born right now, and since one bull can service as many as fifty or more females, that is approximately the ratio right now. Now, a beef heifer is sexually mature about 18 months of age, and has a 9-month gestation period, so the first offspring would be born when the young cow is about 27 months of age. One calf per year, for a lifetime of producing calves maybe to age ten-twelve, then fertility problems start setting in, and the now mature female becomes the hamburger that makes McDonald’s wealthy, but meanwhile there are five or six offspring, some of which are male, and are turned into steers (about 52% of all live offspring are male), the remainder into the next generation’s breeding stock. From scarcity of breeding stock, there is now a glut, the price of beef falls, and the excess herd goes to kill, as there was no longer the incentive to breed more to expand the herd. Suddenly, the herd has gotten TOO small, and the inevitable rise in beef prices begins again, rekindling the cycle. Just about eleven years again.

Wait a while. Cheap cuts of beef will return. But since it is a perishable product, the window never lasts long.


22 posted on 10/05/2015 7:54:21 AM PDT by alloysteel (Do not argue with trolls. That means they win.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Poor man’s analysis: People don’t want to spend the prices they are demanding for beef and they are getting sick of chicken...


29 posted on 10/05/2015 8:04:36 AM PDT by jsanders2001
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