But there also is a massive blocking high in the Maritimes - not sure how Joaquin is supposed to get past that without being pushed back into the East Coast.
Posted on 09/30/2015 4:52:38 AM PDT by dirtboy
Looks like we sold our high-rise condo in Alexandria, VA just in time. FNC just had a reporterette on King St talking about flooding, sand bags and such.
Donna was my first hurricane. I was a little girl and terrified. Ripped our carport off and blew it across the street to the school yard. Knocked down a big tree in the back yard, which in turn ripped a water line, sending water shooting up like a geyser. Went through Andrew in Broward so we didn’t get it bad - 85 mph winds but didn’t have electricity for several days and didn’t know how bad things were south of us.
I’m glad you didn’t drown.
Hazel was my first, I was ten and don’t remember many details, that was an awful year in South Carolina, a tornado took half my grandfather’s house away. You can find reports online if you look for tornado, Jefferson, SC 1954. I helped my dad and uncles and cousins to reroof the house and I mean rafters and all, half the house was literally gone, they just closed up the open side and put a roof on what was left of the house. A little later that year Hazel hit and we had real problems with drought the same year. In ‘89 we had 105 mph winds from Hugo right here where I live now and that was not nearly the worst of it but roads were blocked all around by fallen trees, some fine homes were crushed into matchsticks by falling trees.
I’m glad I didn’t drown too, thank you8>)
King Euro is going to win again....LOL.
But there also is a massive blocking high in the Maritimes - not sure how Joaquin is supposed to get past that without being pushed back into the East Coast.
Because of the remnants of Ida...which will probably become a TS again. They will fujiwara around each other and Ida (or whatever they name 90L) will break down the ridge. 12Z run of the GFS is now seeing it too and takes Joaquin well east of the US...but not as far east as the EURO...but it is trending towards what the EURO has been showing the whole time.
Great form...for a fish storm.
Well...present movement is NW at 3...and it's going to do what the ECMWF model has been saying all along. It is REVERSING course and headed out to sea without coming near the Gulf or crossing Cuba.
Perhaps telling someone who knows a little more about weather than you do to "Get someone to read the data to you" was just a little arrogant and presumptuous...no?
bkmk
You can also see the stream of tropical moisture acting like a fire hose into the Carolinas.
O.K., rub it in. But it was more frustration than presumption on my part. The clear message in the boxes around the predictors said that the movement was either SW or WSW at anywhere between 6 and 8 mph. The computer models mostly showed it going up the coast, destroying everything between Savannah and Boston. One wag said it was going right up the Chesapeake and across Baltimore.
I’m still pretty well frustrated in that I haven’t been able to find a CURRENT readout as to what it’s doing. You said it has changed directions and is now moving NE at 3 mph. I accept that. But my name is Thomas, and I’ve not seen anything that corroborates that. The sites I’m watching are still showing radar images 12 hours or more old, all saying SW at 6. And the radar image shows the storm hovering right on the northern coast of eastern Cuba.
As recent as Thursday, only the European model had it heading northeast and out to sea. And they were being lambasted and snickered at by all the rest, who seemed to be rooting for a total obliteration of the east coast. One of the outfits I monitor is a Storm Chasing group. Late this morning, in what I took to be a tone of dejection and disappointment, they posted the statement, “We might as well face it. The odds of it making landfall on the Atlantic coast are getting slimmer and slimmer.”
In my opinion, that kind of mindset, and that of many of those rooting for an east coast calamity, were hoping for it so they’d have some grounds for humping the fraudulent AGW meme. They haven’t had a major hurricane to use for that in 10 years, and the 2015 season is petering out, right before their eyes.
As to my being wrong. I’m well experienced at that. And I have a lot of company.
Congratulations on YOUR success.
P.S. And yes, I just saw the info that it is now moving N at 7.
It’s been interesting.
Wow!
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