Posted on 09/01/2015 6:17:26 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
In the late 1970s, TV Guide ran a poll to find out which sportscaster fans liked the most and which one they disliked the most. Howard Cosell finished first in both categories. Which brings us to Donald Trump, another loud, over-the-top, brash personality.
According to the latest Quinnipiac University national poll, when Republicans were asked who they would vote for if the primary for president were held today, Trump finished first. When asked who they definitely would not support for the nomination, the very same Donald Trump finished first again.
Being a polarizing figure didnt hurt Howard Cosell. Even people who said they didnt like him tuned in to watch the game and, truth be told, to watch him, too. But politics is different. In that arena, you can get away with being polarizing after you win the election Barack Obama is proof of that. But polarizing pols have a tough time winning in the first place; the math doesnt add up.
So, if these were normal times, the numbers would be bad news for The Donald. But these are not normal times. Pundits who are still confidently saying he cant win the nomination are the same ones who said hed never get this far. Or to put it another way: The smarties arent as smart as they think they are.
When voters were asked what the first word was that came to mind when they thought of Donald Trump, respondents said arrogant, followed by blowhard and idiot.
And when voters were asked what the first word was that came to mind when they thought of Hillary Clinton, they said liar, followed by dishonest and untrustworthy.
Note well: These two are the front-runners! Rodney Dangerfield got more respect.
So which party is in more trouble? You can make a case that its the Republicans.
While 26 percent of Republicans say they would never vote for Trump, only 11 percent of Democrats say they would never vote for Clinton. Democrats dont have the same kind of ideologically pure wing that has hurt GOP presidential candidates in the past. Democrats, it seems, are more practical. They may prefer Bernie Sanders, or one of the others, but when push comes to shove, almost all of them will vote for Clinton. Why? They want to win.
I recently received an e-mail from someone named Carl who described himself as a conservative Christian, and he wrote, I have voted Republican since Eisenhower beat Stevenson, and if Jeb, Christie, Kasich, or Graham are nominated, I WILL STAY HOME!
Carl is not alone. I received similar e-mails during the last two presidential campaigns and millions of the ideologically pure who normally would vote Republican did in fact sit home, if not handing the elections to Barack Obama, at least making it a lot easier for him to win.
These purists have told me that theres little or no difference between a moderate Republican and a liberal Democrat. Theyre delusional, of course, blinded by their hard-right ideology, but thats what they believe nonetheless. And depending on who the GOP nominee is, they could represent big trouble for the party.
Finally, consider this: In the last six presidential elections, 18 states have voted for the Democratic candidate every time, totaling 242 electoral votes just 28 short of victory. That means Democrats are about 90 percent of the way to winning the White House even before the actual voting begins.
Of course, anything can happen. Technically, history tells us only about the past. But its often a good indicator of what lies ahead.
So if Republicans hope to win in 2016, they will have to unite and support the GOP candidate whoever he or she is. Republicans, who today are vowing to never support Donald Trump, will have to reconsider, should he win the nomination. And the conservative purists, who swear they will never vote for a moderate, will have to abandon their ideological purity or abandon all hope of a GOP victory.
This wont be easy. But its the only thing certain in this summer of uncertainty.
Bernard Goldberg is a news and media analyst for Fox News and the author of Bias: A CBS Insider Exposes How the Media Distort the News. His website is BernardGoldberg.com.
How predictable is this whine by Bernie?
If the GOPe candidate or a Dem wins in 2016, the GOPe get to go to all the same parties, they just don’t get to plan the menu.
If a Cruz, Trump, Fiorina or Carson win, they might not get invited anymore.
So what? They earned it.
"He is louche, alcoholic, lazy, and without any commitment to any principle," he added.
"He is not Gingrich, the natural leader of a 'revolution,' riding the crest into power," Blumenthal continued as he described Boehner, R-Ohio. "He is careworn and threadbare, banal and hollow, holding nobody's enduring loyalty."
He also said Boehner "twitches" if the conservative base makes "gestures that might undermine his position."
SO WE CAN VOTE FOR PEOPLE LIKE THIS?
So you’re saying there would be no difference between a President Cruz, Republican and a President Biden, Democrat?
But you wouldn't know that unless you actually read the full article.
And surely you must be aware that reading the articles is seriously frowned upon around here, even if not directly verboten.
Sick of these whiny babies. Who care if GOP is destroyed? Not me.
Blah blah blah. He's basing all his fears on a poll that's only different by 15%....more than a year out from the election. I'm willing to bet that if Trump IS the nominee that by next year these number will be reversed for both.
Haven’t you heard ? Cruz is now a RINO
Due to potential violent FR reaction (both pro and con) the above has been deemed sarcasm
He rides more fences than a lizard.
He's a rhetorical pendulum.
He's the vinyl record of political punditry.
He's the saloon door of intellectual discussion.
Who care about a GOP victory if the relentless march toward the left continues?
Bernie, you are an idiot. Your solution, just keep doing over and over again what has failed for years, but this time the results will be different. You are not only an idiot, you are stupid.
you noticed that too? the correct approach here is to read the headline only and then produce a violent outburst based on preconceived notions
How about: sticking it the GOP-e almost seems IS worth it.
Anything less is nothing short of traitorous at this point.
Right now they have Obama, who is a big Leftist but is, in many ways, still in the front pocket of Wall Street.
And Boehner/McConnell running the Congress.
I think a Democrat Congress with President Liz Warren will cause the Chamber types to soil their undies and come running to us to save them.
Good point!
Quote:
“”Boehner is despised by the younger, more conservative members of the House Republican Conference,” Blumenthal wrote to Clinton. “They are repelled by his personal behavior.”
“He is louche, alcoholic, lazy, and without any commitment to any principle,” he added.
“He is not Gingrich, the natural leader of a ‘revolution,’ riding the crest into power,” Blumenthal continued as he described Boehner, R-Ohio. “He is careworn and threadbare, banal and hollow, holding nobody’s enduring loyalty.”
He also said Boehner “twitches” if the conservative base makes “gestures that might undermine his position.”
SO WE CAN VOTE FOR PEOPLE LIKE THIS?”
No more. Never again. If America wants to be ruled by the likes of John Boehner, Nancy Pelosi, Barack Obama, and Jeb Bush then America deserves what’s coming.
As for me.....
Wow. If the Nat Rev is not flaming away on Trump, they are blasting purists.
Libertarian rag. I swear they would love it if Hillary won.
My brother-in-law used the terms arrogant and blowhard when describing what he liked about Trump.
Thoughtful serious commentary is antithetical to irate shouting....it should be curtailed if possible.
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