[Will88]

25%? Newt might be right, but I’d been thinking if Trump gets above 30% and holds there, then he’ll win.

[Red Steel]

Yeah he’ll likely be over 30%+ before or in September.

[Vigilanteman]

25% is really quite impressive at this point where there are about dozen serious candidate, which would include those consistently over 5% such as Jeb Bush, but not those with zero chance like Linda Graham or the Doughboy.

By the time it gets down to the final four, he needs to be polling a consistent 30% or more. This usually happens on or shortly after Super Tuesday. But it could happen as soon as or shortly after South Carolina.

[GilGil]

I very strongly suspect that the economy and the market are going to crater over next 18 months.

Dow 7000.

If that happens that will make Trump’s case in spades. People will be panicked and here is this guy saying let’s make America great again.

That will push him above 40% on his way to 50%.