My belief is that Trump's numbers are as I predicted, and Krauthammer also believes, he has topped out at about 20% + -2% or 3%. Ted Cruz has shown improvement after the last debate and he is daily announcing staff operations in various states. He is in a good post position long before we turn the final pole and go into the home stretch.
But I would be less than honest if I did not concede that I would be much happier Cruz's numbers were more robust and I wish he excited more numbers out on the stump.
We are so far away from the real tests to concede the election based on polls which Larry Sabato (another observer who is trashed because he made predictions against Trump) tells us are too soon in the game to be meaningful. These experts are looking at Trump's negatives and concluding that he will not be nominated.
If I look at how the numbers so rapidly deteriorated for Walker and accelerated for Carly Fiorino and Ben Carson, I conclude that the data is simply too volatile and we ought to proceed with the primary season and have votes.
I’m of the opinion that the “old” political rules might not apply this time in the GOP nomination process. If that happens you can thank the “Mitch & John” show in the republican controlled house & senate.....we shall see. Like I mentioned before, though I’m with Cruz, his numbers in most every poll in the last several years have been lackluster, at best. He just has not caught on.
“When Trump’s numbers decelerate, appear to top and even to descend, Trump supporters dismiss the data and attack the integrity of the pollsters. When Trump’s numbers appear robust, Trump supporters proclaim the polls from the rooftops.”
Trump is # 1 in all polls, lol. It’s hard to top that. Take a pill and go to bed.
Did you, yourself, not claim a "trend" at the first dip in Trump's numbers?
Great thunder, Nathan! You’re coming across like that reptilian George Will!
...Cruz has shown improvement after the last debate and he is daily announcing staff operations in various states. He is in a good post position long before we turn the final pole and go into the home stretch.
But I would be less than honest if I did not concede that I would be much happier Cruz’s numbers were more robust and I wish he excited more numbers out on the stump...
I understand where you are coming from. Just my opinion, Cruz is a Senator, therefore he is part of the problem in the minds of a lot of people. I realize he says he is different, he has taken positions against the “Washington Cartel” but he has also taken positions in support of them.
My congressman, Mark Amodei, campaigned as a staunt conservative and was elected by a landslide. My senator, Dean Heller, campaigned as a staunt conservative and was elected by a landslide, both promising to stop Obama. Both of them lied or at least fell right in with the program as soon as they got to Washington. Bribed/blackmailed??? or just say anything to get elected. I will have a very hard time ever believing another politician. I think many people are in the same place. We have been lied to by just about everyone in Washington, how many times should we believe one of them is telling the truth before we wake up?
This country doesn’t have the time left to take the chance.