Poll: Trump Surges After Debate Controversy (Morning Consult Poll - Trump 32%, 2029 reg voters)

Newsmax ^ | Monday, 10 Aug 2015 02:52 PM | Melanie Batley

[PinkChampagneonIce]

MEMO FROM TRUMP:

Step One: Show the Republicans clear evidence that they are being used and manipulated by the elite classes of their party.

Result: Good results so far, Sir. Great. Continue present tactics.

Step Two: Show the Democrats clear evidence that they are being used and manipulated by the elite classes of their party.

Result: Expected result is good, but campaign has not yet begun. Primary objective must be secured first. Great. Continue present tactics.

[Democrat_media]

Me too . Hope megyn “man jaw” Kelly’s ratings tank!

[Reagan0704]

I know me too. Lol

[GOPsterinMA]

“Megyn Crowley”: Well done!!! I’m clicking the imaginary “Like” and “Share” buttons.

B-b-b-but I thought she was the “Take no prisoners, hard hitting, kick their asses” uber-Conservative?

Guess the “Megyn Crowley Cheer Brigate” is wrong. Hide their razor blades.

Actually, don’t.

[Mygirlsmom]

The Republican part of this poll was a "subset" of 796 "self-identified" Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents.

32% = exactly 254 people nationwide.

[ckilmer]

“That makes Trump both the most popular candidate within the Republican field and the least popular candidate Republicans could nominate for next year’s general election,” Morning Consult said in a statement.
..................
imho Trump would get a lot of democrats. And I mean he would handily beat hillary or any other democrat.

[Cheerio]

Americans by the millions are so sick of the media that anyone that is not Washington DC mainstream is on the rise - Trump, Carson, Carley, and Cruz (actually mainstream but willing to take them on).

[Reagan0704]

I didn’t know she had a book. I going to buy it for my daughter. Thanks!

[Reagan0704]

That is outright my favorite movie. Go Trump!

[Cheerio]

The only poll that counts is the one on election day.

Not if the left could have their way.

Charge: Exit poll results were more accurate than actual ballots
Finding: False
Explanation of Problem: Imperfect nature of polls
Now to the central issue: the claim that exit polls, which never lie, showed Kerry winning. Our understanding of this – and the argumentation in the Contest – is based largely on an analysis by Steven F. Freeman, Ph.D. But Freeman is not an expert in polling. According to his affidavit, he is a visiting scholar in the Graduate Division, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania Center for Organizational Dynamics.

To get some insight into this issue, I spoke with a source who, in the common parlance, is "familiar with the thinking of" Warren Mitofsky, the "father" of the exit poll.

Asked about Freeman's analysis, my source told me that it is "all wrong." We spent several hours going through Freeman's specific claims, and reviewed how exit polls – and Mitofsky's in particular – work.

Much of the belief that the election was stolen was based on "screen shots" of raw numbers provided by CNN. In exit polling, raw numbers mean almost nothing – since the essence of a successful exit poll is to interview a sampling of voters, and then apply a variety of methods in order to adjust to the most probable accurate assessment. "To say you want the raw data is ludicrous," said the source. "You can't use it until you do something with it. You're talking about a bunch of naïve people that had [only] the first course in statistics."

Bill Leonard, a former CBS News VP who was a polling pioneer, has called exit polls "blunt instruments." The widely circulated notion that they are always right is dead wrong.

The notion that a single definitive number showing Kerry winning ever existed is also wrong. "We never had unadjusted unofficial totals," said the source. "As we get more data, we're always adjusting."

In this case, what most likely happened was that more Bush supporters failed to complete exit poll surveys than Kerry backers. The reason for that can be as trivial as a sampler skipping someone who looks unfriendly or voters not liking the race or demeanor of the sampler.

(For what it is worth, I learned that Mitofsky is a lifelong liberal and apparently holds no brief for Bush. But a job's a job, and a professional is a professional.)

Although even this report claims the charge is false, it goes to show how much of an illness LIBERALISM is in the nation. http://www.alternet.org/story/20934/election_2004%3A_stolen_or_lost

[Chauncey Uppercrust]

I was sure the MSM was going to outright lie in all the next polls, saying that Trump had tanked.

To clarify, I was certain He would not tank, but was certain that they would make up phony lying polls that suggested he had tanked.

I am still holding my breath for the usual suspects, Fox News, CNN,NBC/WSJ,ABC WASH POST,QUIN etc etc

These guys could all still lie. Not like they never have, they are famous for it in crunch time,so will still be surprised if they dont lie.

[Democrat_media]

The media polls are lying . They say Trump is at at 32% . I bet Trump is really at 40% right now or higher

[CPT Clay]

Wow, I can believe the survey monkey poll of 23 percent more than I can believe this poll of 32 percent.

[Chauncey Uppercrust]

Could very well be, absolutely. We know they love to do this in last polls prior to an election also.

[CPT Clay]

should be 400

[Hostage]

Yes, the video is a very interesting synopsis of what Donald Trump could do and why both democrat and republican leaders fear him so much.

[Democrat_media]

Great Video!

[Democrat_media]

Great Video!

And Great post also

Democrats did add tens of millions of immigrant leftists to our population precisely for the purpose of compromising the electoral process and to damage America and move it to the left politically

[tcrlaf]

“Hillary is very concerned that blacks won’t be ENTHUSED to turn out for her.”

Which explains the Soros-financed Race Riots in Ferguson this weekend.

[boycott]

Which explains the Soros-financed Race Riots in Ferguson this weekend.

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Makes perfectly good sense. If they don’t have a crisis, they’re going to create one.