Just keep in mind that Luntz’s numbers and results are pretty much the flip side of same coin as Silver’s
Luntz says people like Trump because he’s honest, straight-talking and unaffraid to speak his mind.
Which serves to both garner support AND tick off people who see those things (particularly from people they disagree with) as Trolls.
Here is the problem. You have 2 political analysts who come to conclusions about the electorate in two completely different ways. Silver was almost perfect in 2008 and absolutely perfect in 2012 using his method, Luntz comes to conclusions about populations of voters using these focus groups and his results rarely seem to match up with how the public actually cast ballots.
I honestly think Luntz is just making it up as he goes along, though I will give him credit for trying to get candidates on our side to understand how crucial language is and framing issues with the right words.
Silver is far more accurate. Though in this case, this is mostly just an opinion piece so I wouldn’t give it too much weight.
Trump is a troll though. He is very likely to run indie in my opinion and help Hillary win the the White House for the Clinton’s. And I’m not sure “the Donald” cares considering all his donations to Hillary, having her to his 3rd wedding, etc, etc.