What will happen is that the turnout for Blacks will be depressed in 2016. No way they will turn out to vote like they did in ‘08 and ‘12.
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EXACTLY! I’ve been saying that for months. We’ve had our “Black” President. The new has worn off; the novelty is gone. They are not fired up this time. Besides, they are no better off now than they were 8 years ago. And, the Black men I work with don’t like Hillary.
I’m thinking the depressed Black turn-out could cost Hillary 4 percentage points in the vote overall.
She will need that much of an increase in the White Vote. The last Democrat to do well in that demographic was her husband back in '96.