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Trump near top of pack in Michigan, Clinton leads GOP field
PPP - Public Policy Polling ^ | June 30, 2015

Posted on 07/01/2015 1:57:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

PPP's newest Michigan poll finds a four way cluster at the top of the Republican field- Scott Walker's at 15%, with Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, and Donald Trump all right behind at 14%. Marco Rubio at 9%, Mike Huckabee at 8%, Chris Christie and Ted Cruz at 5%, and Rand Paul at 4% also all make the top 9. Rounding out the field are Carly Fiorina and John Kasich at 3%, Rick Santorum at 2%, Lindsey Graham and Rick Perry at 1%, and Bobby Jindal and George Pataki with less than 1%.

It's interesting to note that Trump is in the top tier despite having an underwater favorability rating at 41/44. What he has going for him is that much more so than for most of the rest of the field, the people who do like him also say he's their first choice for the nomination.

Bush leads the field with both moderates (getting 19% to 10% each for Christie, Huckabee, and Walker) and with those identifying themselves as 'somewhat conservative' (getting 21% to 15% for Walker, 13% for Carson, and 10% for Trump.) The reason Bush doesn't lead overall though is that he continues to really struggle with voters on the right. Among 'very conservative' voters his favorability is 34/46, and he is in only 6th place with them at 6%. The candidates who are doing the best on the right are Walker at 23%, Trump at 18%, and Carson at 17%. Their strength with that segment of the electorate allows them to catch up to Bush overall.

Carson has the best favorability among Republicans in Michigan at 57/14, followed closely by Walker at 55/16. Rubio at 53/20 and Huckabee at 52/31 are the others with greater than 50% favorability ratings. As he enters the race today Christie continues to be by far and away the most unpopular of the Republican hopefuls. Only 25% see him favorably to 54% who have a negative opinion. The dislike of Christie is nothing ideological- moderates (26/49), 'somewhat conservative' voters (28/53), and 'very conservative' voters (17/66)- alike have very dim views of him.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 57% to 25% for Bernie Sanders, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, 2% for Jim Webb, and 1% for Martin O'Malley. The numbers show that there are places beyond New Hampshire where Sanders is getting significant levels of support, but at the same time he's still trailing by 32 points. Clinton is polling over 70% with African Americans, over 60% with women, and over 50% with liberals, moderates, whites and voters in every age group. The only group she doesn't get a majority with is men at 48%. Clinton also leads the entire Republican field for the general election by margins ranging anywhere from 3 to 10 points. Her average lead of 7 points is a little less than what Barack Obama won the state by in 2012 but a good deal more than the 3 point win John Kerry had in the state in 2004. The Republican who comes closest to Clinton is Rand Paul, who lags by 3 points at 45/42. Next best are Scott Walker who trails by 4 at 46/42 and Mike Huckabee who's down by 5 at 47/42.

On the other side of the equation the Republicans who do the worst against Clinton, each trailing by 10 points at 49/39, are Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. Also in that bottom range are Jeb Bush who's down by 9 at 47/38, and Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina who are each down by 8 at 49/41 and 46/38 respectively. Chris Christie and Marco Rubio, each trailing by Clinton by 6 at 44/38 and 46/40 respectively come down in between.

While Clinton leads the entire Republican field in Michigan, none of the rest of her Democratic counterparts lead Scott Walker in hypothetical contests in the state. Walker leads Bernie Sanders by 4 at 39/35, Martin O'Malley and Lincoln Chafee by 5 at 37/32 and 36/31 respectively, and Jim Webb by 7 at 38/31.

Full results here


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; gopprimary; michigan; polling

1 posted on 07/01/2015 1:57:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The MSM are not broadcasting the news about the Clinton crimes, scandals and corruption, so the voting public is unaware that she’s a crook.


2 posted on 07/01/2015 2:06:58 AM PDT by SatinDoll (A NATURAL BORN CITIZEN IS BORN IN THE US OF US CITIZEN PARENTS.)
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To: SatinDoll

The MSM are reading Clinton’s letter about asking for tea.

Aw, how cute. As they cover for her and the deaths in Benghazi and the stolen election.


3 posted on 07/01/2015 2:15:56 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: SatinDoll

Clinton voters must be one of (or a combination of) these things:

Dumb

Young

Incompetent

Uninformed

Greedy

Anti-American

Corrupt


4 posted on 07/01/2015 2:24:14 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Yep. Name recognition and (D) behind her name. That’s all those people need.


5 posted on 07/01/2015 2:30:53 AM PDT by Veggie Todd (The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. TJ)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Someone should drop fliers in Democrat strong neighborhoods and communities outlining her crooked life and corruption. Whether it will make a difference or not, at least people will hear the truth. I can’t believe that after 6 1/2 years of what we have had to endure under this regime, that people would still vote for another Demoncrat. I don’t get it - I just don’t.


6 posted on 07/01/2015 3:42:52 AM PDT by Catsrus
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I’m starting to worry about Cruz making the top 10 for the debates. His polling numbers have not been good lately. Tied with Krispy Kreme Cristie!! That makes no sense.

You can bet your boots that Fox will do what they can to slip him to the 11 spot.


7 posted on 07/01/2015 3:55:44 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

That’s because Crispy just declared and got huge press before, during (and comeing soon, after). Crispy is the good establishment choice if Jeb doesn’t make it in.


8 posted on 07/01/2015 3:59:00 AM PDT by palmer (Net "neutrality" = Obama turning the internet into FlixNet)
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To: InterceptPoint
Cruz lost a lot of supporters over bargaining with Obama for the trade deal, then not having control over the result. Many were already edgy about is wanting to increase H1B Visas.

I can't imagine how Cruz gets his numbers up after that very bad idea of giving Obama a victory.

9 posted on 07/01/2015 4:03:11 AM PDT by grania
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To: SatinDoll
The MSM are not broadcasting the news about the Clinton crimes, scandals and corruption, so the voting public is unaware that she’s a crook.

It wouldn't do any good, would just cause the Democrats to rally to Clinton's defense. Scott Walker wins the same way: the left goes so bonkers over him he becomes immune to it.

10 posted on 07/01/2015 4:13:20 AM PDT by Reeses (A journey of a thousand miles begins with a government pat down.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

PPP Poll an absolute waste!!! Democrat rag!!! Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for POTUS!!! Hillary will withdraw...on her own....and become the only thing she is suited for...being a grandmother, and I am not sure about that!!!


11 posted on 07/01/2015 4:22:01 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, e shortlpolitically!!!.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

And who do you say will be the Republican that will face Biden?


12 posted on 07/01/2015 4:38:07 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
PPP what a bunch of morons...

I thought the headline read the Clinton lead the GOP ticket..(of course, if you have the 'leadership' of Boehner and McConnell, you might think they are Dems!!)

13 posted on 07/01/2015 4:42:57 AM PDT by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: ExCTCitizen

It is a screwy headline - sort of like this one.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3306460/posts

“Iowa poll: Trump takes second place behind Gov. Walker”


14 posted on 07/01/2015 7:09:12 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Seriously.....I have no idea who the Republican will be.......I like Rubio, Trump, Cruz, Carson, Fiorina, Walker...but not in that exact order. However....whoever the Pubbie candidate may be, he or she will have to be totally pro-active in both criticism & effective, meaningful, corrective programs. We cannot afford to have “weak sisters” like McCann & Romney!!! No RINOs either!!! That is why I like Donald Trump, Ben Carson & Carly Fiorina.....they tell it like it is!!!

The Obamabot media is in full panic mode already. They would have us believe Obama is snapping back......forget it!!! They are frightened to death of losing the White House in 2016...and are hoping the Pubbies will fall for their fairy tales. I hope the Republicans are not fooled and respond massively by “Tearing Their Political Hearts Out” at every chance they get!!! We need a candidate that tells it like it is!!


15 posted on 07/01/2015 8:02:20 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, e shortlpolitically!!!.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Clinton leads GOP field?


16 posted on 07/01/2015 8:25:26 AM PDT by jch10 (America, destroyed from within.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Yes.

The Left will follow no rules or play fair.


17 posted on 07/01/2015 10:03:53 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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