Posted on 05/18/2015 2:00:46 AM PDT by Cronos
It turns out that one of the Grand Old Partys biggestand least discussedchallenges going into 2016 is lying in plain sight, written right into the partys own nickname. The Republican Party voter is oldand getting older, and as the adage goes, there are two certainties in life: Death and taxes. Right now, both are enemies of the GOP and they might want to worry more about the former than the latter.
Theres been much written about how millennials are becoming a reliable voting bloc for Democrats, but theres been much less attention paid to one of the biggest get-out-the-vote challenges for the Republican Party heading into the next presidential election: Hundreds of thousands of their traditional core supporters wont be able to turn out to vote at all.
The partys core is dying off by the day.
Here is the methodology, using one age group as an example: According to exit polls, 5,488,091 voters aged 60 to 64 years old supported Romney in 2012. The mortality rate for that age group is 1,047.3 deaths per 100,000, which means that 57,475 of those voters died by the end of 2013. Multiply that number by four, and you get 229,900 Romney voters aged 60-to-64 who will be deceased by Election Day 2016. Doing the same calculation across the range of demographic slices pulled from exit polls and census numbers allows one to calculate the total voter deaths. Its a rough calculation, to be sure, and there are perhaps ways to move the numbers a few thousand this way or that, but by and large, this methodology at least establishes the rough scale of the problem for the Republicansa problem measured in the mid-hundreds of thousands of lost voters by November 2016.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
I meet a lot of twenty-somethings and global warming is a joke to them. School choice vouchers would attract many urban minority parents. I believe as you do that the Left is out of ideas. This full court press is their Operation Watch on the Rhine.
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