[rey]

Of course it is guessed at. They struggle with the 24-72 hour forecast. How can they be even remotely accurate on the 25, 50, or 100 year forecast?

I heard a comedian say that once they can sort out partly cloudy versus the partly sunny then they could talk to him about Armageddon.

[VanShuyten]

“Of course it is guessed at. They struggle with the 24-72 hour forecast. How can they be even remotely accurate on the 25, 50, or 100 year forecast?”

This is a poor leap in logic that I have repeatedly tried to correct here.

I can’t tell if you are going to die in the next day, week, or month, but I can make pretty good guesses on your chances to die in the next 25, 50, or 100 years.

Weather is not climate.