The polls wont matter for a year;
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By May 1, 2016 we’ll pretty well know the nominee.
Debates begin this Aug and some 30 or so caucuses or primaries scheduled before May 1, 2016.
http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/
The last two cycles they had their Democrat in an R jersey locked in by March