2016 Race for White House Could Be Closer Than Some Predict

For some, the 2016 presidential election is over: Hillary will win in a walk. Oddschecker.com website, which monitors 19 bookies, is unanimous: Hillary is heavily favored to win, with Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio coming in at very weak second and third places, respectively.

Paddy Power, Ireland’s largest bookmaker, agrees. Spokesman Rory Scott told Business Insider that more than 5,000 bets have already been placed on the outcome reflected by Oddschecker: Hillary first, followed in the distance by Bush, Walker, and Rubio.

Myra Adams, a Republican who served on George W. Bush’s reelection campaign’s creative team in 2004 and then on John McCain’s 2008 campaign’s ad council, threw in the towel two years ago. Writing in The Daily Beast in August 2013, she sorrowfully concluded: “Sorry, folks, this race is over … from this vantage point, all signs point to Hillary Clinton coasting to the Democrat Party nomination and [then] winning the White House.”

It’s because of demographic shifts, media bias, and the lack (at the time of her writing) of anyone with sufficient “star power” in the Republican Party universe to challenge her, said Adams.

First, the media will push the “Madame President” movement, helped along by Hollywood and social media:

You will hear the “triumph of the '60s feminist movement.” You will hear that you will be “voting to make history.” And you will hear that your vote will be used as a “hammer to break through the glass ceiling of the Oval Office.”…

[Just as] Obama was hailed as the messiah … Hillary will be the queen ready to ascend to her royal throne.

Second, said Adams, Hillary is due. She’s earned it, she deserves it, she’s labored in the shadows for years, she’s suffered under husband's sexual escapades and his impeachment by the House of Representatives, and under Obama as his foil as secretary of state. She came back to win a Senate seat in New York, and she’ll come back once again to take the White House. Said Adams, "This groupthink will make for a toxic punch of media bias that the Republican presidential candidate will be forced to drink on a daily basis."

Third, she has a three-year running start. In June 2013, for example, her Ready for Hillary PAC raised over a million dollars, almost two years before she even declared herself as a candidate. It’s reported that she is planning to raise more than a billion dollars to fund her now official campaign to storm the White House.

Fourth, there’s the “blue wall” in the Electoral College that favors Democrats and will continue to do so, according to Adams, thanks to current and future demographic shifts and changing voting patterns.

That demographic shift is being helped along as Ready for Hillary is already registering some 50,000 Hispanic teenagers who are turning 18 every month, notes Adams.

[Hillary’s] leaner, non-meat-eating, more highly evolved, totally rebranded, well-respected charitable husband (of Clinton Global Initiative fame) will be one of Hillary’s greatest assets on the campaign trail.

The Republican Party’s “travelling circus” has just begun, using up resources and inflicting damage on potential candidates, while Hillary waits in the wings to take on the survivor. Much like Siamese fighting fish, the male survivor is so weakened in its fight for life that it presents little resistance to another one observing the battle from a distance.

The claim that Hillary is old (she’s 67 and will turn 70 during her first term) is likely to fail to resonate with voters, asserts Adams. With 70 being “the new 55” and the average age of Republican voters climbing, this will be a non-starter.

And the electorate’s short memory will aid Hillary as well, says Adams. Calls to arms from Republicans reminding voters about Whitewater, the death of Vince Foster, Travelgate, filegate, the Rose Law firm, and cattle futures are likely to draw little interest. After all, these happened years ago and therefore aren’t relevant today. The only piece of luggage Hillary is carrying around contains something about her private e-mails and a distant fading memory of something bad that happened in Benghazi, Libya, which occurred in September 2012. By November 2016 that will be ancient, and irrelevant, history.

Enter Nate Silver. He calls most of Adams’ concerns mere “punditry,” not likely to have much impact on the election, either way. Concerns about the “blue wall” in the Electoral College and the historical fact that the Democratic Party rarely wins three elections in a row, Silver calls distracting to the real issue: Hillary will become the Democratic Party’s nominee, he says, but the presidential election “is roughly a 50/50 proposition.”

Silver, it will be remembered, called the 2008 presidential election and accurately predicted 49 of the 50 states along with the winner in all 35 U.S. Senate races.

In 2012, he repeated his performance, correctly predicting the election results in all 50 states, and in 31 of the 33 Senate races.

What about that “blue wall?” Mostly, says Silver, it was the effect of Obama’s success in 2008 and 2012, not the cause of it.

And in both elections, the vote was so close that just one “tipping-point state” (Colorado) pushed the election to Obama.

Obama’s team mobilized voters in swing states, and it's unclear whether Hillary’s team will have the same success. Silver is unconvinced about the "Emerging Democratic Majority," calling it “highly dubious” with predictions based on such theories having “a miserable track record” of predicting presidential elections.

And fundraising? Hillary plans to raise $1.2 billion for 2016 but, says Silver, so are the Republicans. And at some point, more money has a steadily diminishing rate of return.

Silver looks at two primary factors when making his predictions: likeability and name recognition. A candidate might be well-known (such as New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, for example) but have terribly unfavorable ratings. Or a candidate (such as Ben Carson) might have high favorability ratings but be practically unknown.

Hillary is well known (almost as well-known as her former boss, President Obama), according to Silver’s analysis, but she isn’t particularly well-liked, just like her boss.

The outlier for 2016 is something none of the pollsters is talking about, and only Adams touched on it: “Unless there is a radical change of circumstances within the Republican Party and its crop of presidential wannabes, or some unforeseen cataclysmic national event that dramatically alters the current economic and political landscape, or a serious deterioration in her health, Hillary has it locked up." (Emphasis added.)

On December 30, 2013, Hillary collapsed in her office and suffered a concussion. She was taken by ambulance to New York-Presbyterian Hospital, where she was diagnosed with having suffered a “right transverse venous thrombosis” — a blood clot in her brain. Doctors warned, “She has to be carefully monitored for the rest of her life.” The reason? Said a cardiac specialist: “The unique thing about clotting in the brain is that it could have transformed into a stroke.” And clots are especially a threat while flying, which may perhaps have something to do with Hillary’s decision to travel by car around the country as she kicks off her campaign.

She had a similar fainting spell back in 2005 during a speech in Buffalo, New York, and fainted again while boarding a plane in Yemen in 2009. That time she fell and broke her elbow.

The presidential election is 18 months away. It’s far too soon to be calling winners. But given Silver’s analysis, and his track record, it could be a lot closer than some are predicting.

America is truly lost and the Constitution will be at long last rendered meaningless. The experiment that was America will be finally over.

Since the slim majority are mostly center to far right the time will be ripe for an overthrow of the entire corrupted governmental apparatus. The process by which this will be accomplished and the events following the overthrow will be difficult for many to comprehend.

The slime balls that comprise the left are incapable of remembering what happened to Spain's left at the end of the Spanish Civil War. It wasn't pretty.

I stand behind my previous assessment of the 2012 election:

Once the media called the election for Obamugabe, the urban polling centers (1) stopped counting all votes and (2) compiled all uncounted votes as “for Obamugabe”. The bulk of actual votes were never counted but unilaterally GIVEN to “Bath-house Barry”.

This is the simplest explanation of how a Philly precinct recorded ~110% of the vote for Obamugabe, even before the polls closed.

How many “counting into the wee hours of the morning” stories did we see that day? I recall a big-fat-nothing-burger on that question.

This is just the usual sales job by the MSM to garner media buys from the candidates. Nothing more. The country passed the point of no-return several years ago with a majority of voters in some form or another on the government dole. We'll know the end is near when the toilet paper runs out under State planning alà Venezuela.

.....Hillary plans to raise more than a billion dollars to fund her now-official campaign....

Plus the money keeps pouring into her $2.5 Billion Super-Pac (AKA the Clinton Foundation). As long as she's in the race, foundation donors are ponying up----lying in wait.......for payback.

It's useful to remember that Hillary was accumulating her $2.5 billion 2016 campaign war chest AT THE SAME TIME the viscous Clinton machine was rolling over anyone who dared to challenge her.

Americans should be asking---why does this political retread need a $2.5 billion war chest....w/ no challengers, to date....when the job she's after is worth maybe $2 million w/ perks and free plane rides.

PEGGY NOONAN OBSERVING HILLARY IN ACTION: "Never in modern political history has such tenacity and determination been marshaled to achieve such puny purpose: the mere continuance of Them.....unprincipled narcissists in a WH thoroughly penetrated by the political left."

Hillary is precisely the wannabe the Founders guarded against---a power-monger with an army of acolytes, lying in wait to undo the govt that protects everyday Americans and our freedoms.

Seeing Hillary's "announcement" on a news segment was unnerving----arrogantly announcing her presidential whims amid struggling middle class people going about their business----she was downright scary.

Because taxpayers are struggling and Hillary has a $2.5 billion spending "limit"...and no opponents as yet.

Americans should be asking---why did this political retread raise $2.5 billion to get a job worth about $2 million w/ perks and free plane rides?

Hillary named four areas of focus for her campaign:
Number 4 was "Protecting Americans from external threats"

Let's put that lie to truth. The morning news reports ISIS terrorists are coming over the border into Texas but don't expect candidate Hillary to actually do anything to protect Americans against this threat.

Quoting Hillary: We must respect and empathize w/ Islamics (those who behead children)
Flopping Aces ^ | 12-06-14 | DrJohn / FR Posted by Starman417

Hillary Clinton has said some stupid things but this is simply astonishing: "This is what we call smart power," Clinton said to a small audience at Georgetown. "Using every possible tool and partner to advance peace and security. Leaving no one on the sidelines. Showing respect even for one's enemies. Trying to understand, in so far as psychologically possible, empathize with their perspective and point of view. Helping to define the problems, determine the solutions. That is what we believe in the 21st century will change -- change the prospects for peace."

SOURCE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2zVHgqj8His

Sap-happy progressives bought into Hillary/Obama's notion that getting greater cooperation from our allies, and less hostility from our enemies, was just a matter of giving them hugs and kisses. Hillary Clinton arrogantly declared it “smart power” (and fronted Time magazine cover).

IS THE "INEVITABLE, UNTOUCHABLE" HILLARY ANOTHER ERIC CANTOR IN THE MAKING?

The massively-funded Hillary is on the road, disguised as a "regular" American....despite a trail of criminal activities that would make organized crime blush.

STROLL DOWN MEMORY LANE Then-Repub Majority Leader, Eric Cantor (Va), was considered untouchable and inevitable.

<><> Cantor had tons of money---spent 26X times his opponent's $100K.

<><> Cantor consistently polled an astounding 34 points ahead of his unknown opponent.

<><> Cantor was considered "inevitable" and "untouchable".

<><> Cantor had no ethics problems.

<><> Cantor sucked-up to an anti-tea party group.

<><> Cantor sucked up to the latino vote.

<><> Cantor showboated his leadership---was deeply into (gag) "diversity."

=============================================

BY CONTRAST HIS OPPONENT Brat:

<><> ran as Cantor's TERM LIMIT

<><> Brat roundly opposed, and was vociferous against amnesty,.

<><> Brat ran as a staunch conservative (now in Congress he has a conservative rating 100%.)

<><> On elections day, Brat got 18,000 more Repub out to the polls than the previous election that elected Cantor.

================================================

CANTOR IN DEFEAT----DUMBFOUNDED:

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