[Vigilanteman]

If the apple doesn't fall far from the tree and the supporters of the tree don't fall far from the apple, it is likely that the Paulistas will have a very good turnout in caucus states like Iowa and small open primary states like New Hampshire.

Elsewhere and especially in the November general election, then not so much.

[nascarnation]

I think you are right.
It’s not good to start the season with a couple of +6 Obama states.

And if I made the schedule, there’d be no blue wall states in the first 20 or so.