But 2016 may be different: we're already seeing a slowdown in the economy and if the drought situation in California--where a huge fraction of the American food supply is grown--gets critical, you will a recession by the end of this year like what happened in 1979-1980. And we know what happened in 1980: an unabashed political conservative named Ronald Wilson Reagan won the election in a huge landslide. And we now have the first unabashed conservative since 1980 in the race with Ted Cruz.
As someone living a dozen miles west of NYC, I assure you the financial sector hasn’t recovered at all (and tech is definitely under pressure from Asia). The jobs we lost are never coming back, and the northeast is rapidly de-populating because of that.
If the first four years of Obama couldn’t convince American voters that something was very wrong, then don’t expect California’s water problems to count for much. Even if food prices go through the roof, if the last six years are any indicator, the media will simply deflect it elsewhere so any Dem running starts out of the gate with 47% of the vote...again.
The reason Obama is still a messiah for many blacks is because they don’t connect their misery to him at all; thousands of “churches” with Jeremiah Wrights are placing this all on white/Republican obstructionism (which is also contributing to the anti-white rage that has actually increased since the election of our first mulatto president). Applying logic to elections, without factoring in low-information voters, will leave you disappointed.