BTW one of the research firms we use did a survey of clients and 51% said the fed would hike in the September meeting. I said December and my reason was “just because the need to show they will.” :-)
You're not only probably going to be proven correct, but I applaud your honesty. It's super hard to hold-out on facts when all the other members of the jury are voting together for what they feel like.
What do you think of dividends as an indicator?
http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2015/03/dividends-us-continues-economic.html#.VPuvznktE5s