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Stock Run-up 3 Weeks Old, Experts Confused-- Investor Thread March 1, 2015
Weekly investment & finance thread ^ | Mar. 1, 2015 | Freeper Investors

Posted on 03/01/2015 5:34:21 AM PST by expat_panama

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1 posted on 03/01/2015 5:34:21 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: 1010RD; A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ..

Easy-street ping.

2 posted on 03/01/2015 5:38:44 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Will the government keep pushing funny money into the banks and thus into the stock market?That’s what’s driving it upinto fantasyland. So long as the market rises it is a good thing for us back here in the real world that don’t have money in the market. It keeps the prices of turnips and spark plugs from going up in tandem with the inflation that has been happening big time since 08.


3 posted on 03/01/2015 5:39:52 AM PST by arthurus (it's true!)
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To: expat_panama
I can’t stress this enough, dear reader: the global economy witnessing an economic slowdown means difficult times ahead for us here in North America—it’s a major global economy now, where what happens in one part of the world has ramifications for other countries worldwide. The U.S. economy is broken. According to a survey conducted by Pew Research, 24% of Americans said in the past 12 months that they had difficulties “putting food on the table.” In 2007, just before the Great Recession struck the U.S. economy, this number stood at 16%. (Source: Pew Research, May 24, 2013.) We can’t fight another economic crisis in an environment in which our central bank has run out of arsenal to fight an economic slowdown and the government has already raked in a huge amount of national debt. That is why I believe this coming downturn will be significant and not so easy to recover from.


4 posted on 03/01/2015 5:42:10 AM PST by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: expat_panama

Time to buy this little gem?

http://www.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=MUTF:GRZZX

Grizzly Short Fund
(MUTF:GRZZX)


5 posted on 03/01/2015 5:45:19 AM PST by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: expat_panama

I have no confusion about this at all. And I don’t think the market will crash because it will be manipulated to the point where it can’t crash.

Here is a simple thought problem. The axiom is that the markets are ruled by their indexes, because that is what the vast majority of investors see. If you can manipulate the indexes, you can prevent the indexes from ever collapsing.

It only needs a few things to pull this off.

1) You have to be able to act very quickly, and secretly, so that no one can see your blatant manipulation. The FED can do this, because their actions are invisible and only the outcomes of those actions are visible.

2) You have to have the force to act, meaning lots of money, in the tens of billions of dollars, and the willingness to act without fear of losing it all, because it is not your money.


6 posted on 03/01/2015 5:45:26 AM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("Don't compare me to the almighty, compare me to the alternative." -Obama, 09-24-11)
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To: SkyPilot

Bye, bye Miss American Pie......

May a phoenix rise from her ashes.


7 posted on 03/01/2015 5:45:44 AM PST by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
The FED can do this, because their actions are invisible

What that sounds like is that the mere fact that there's no record anywhere of the Fed buying stocks, is proof positive that the Fed's buying stocks.  That's the same reasoning used to prove that we're being controlled by invisible black helicopters.

8 posted on 03/01/2015 6:01:05 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
The problem is that the longer and more extreme the manipulation is and the longer it continues, the worse it's going to be when the actions of those doing the manipulating aren't effective anymore. They can probably manipulate the expected, but something unexpected could bring it all down.

What could it be? How about if people avoid banks and a lot of wealth goes into metals, valuables, or in the mattress (so to speak). I could see that happening if the gov makes moves to gain control of retirement money or those near-zero interest rates don't turn around soon. If that happens, people will spend less and horde more.

Just a thought. I've been trying to self-teach myself about what a meltdown of the economy would actually look like from a financial standpoint. It does seem that some of what I hypothesized is happening already.

9 posted on 03/01/2015 6:01:40 AM PST by grania
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To: expat_panama

The S&P, Naz and Russell 2k consolidated for nearly 2 months, so this new uptrend could have nice legs up until Down 20,000. What’s interesting however, is that Gold and Oil looks as if they’ve bottomed. Gold had an outstanding week.


10 posted on 03/01/2015 6:02:02 AM PST by montag813 (ue)
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To: abb

Ya know, it’s great that the fund exists —what happens is that folks who’re convinced that a crash is coming end up having to explain why they’re not buying Grizzly.


11 posted on 03/01/2015 6:05:42 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

I did get a sell signal yesterday, LOL. My coffee drinking buddy who’s been telling me for 2 years that the market’s about to crash said yesterday it looks to him like it’s going up higher.


12 posted on 03/01/2015 6:09:52 AM PST by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: montag813
Gold had an outstanding week

True, we've got a good short term trend.  For the year gold's down ten percent so our longer term remains dodgy...

13 posted on 03/01/2015 6:10:14 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/rankings/bear-market


14 posted on 03/01/2015 6:12:03 AM PST by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: abb
looks to him like it’s going up higher.

Hmmm.   iirc back in the beginning of '29 JPMorgan was getting his shoes shined by a young man that was raving about all the money he'd put into stocks.  That's what convinced Morgan that the market was totally saturated and he promptly sold everything.

15 posted on 03/01/2015 6:14:11 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: SkyPilot

What “central bank?” Don’t say “The Federal Reserve,” because in order to be a central bank, the Fed would have to be an arm of the government, and answerable to the people.


16 posted on 03/01/2015 6:31:24 AM PST by Redbob (uantum systems)
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To: expat_panama

Actually there has been considerable evidence going way back to when some trader noted stock manipulations being done late at night involving huge trades that only lasted for a fraction of a second before they were canceled. Yet these trades strongly biased the statistics of those stocks which other traders and computers use to make their buys and sells.

It also goes to interest. Traders either want stocks to rise or fall, a little or a lot, based on futures, active trades, and derivatives. Market stability is only good for dividends, and only for those companies that are oriented towards paying dividends, which doesn’t include entire market sectors.

So the bottom line is that other than a minority of traders, only the FED and the Treasury are interested in an over-stabilized market. And they are the only organizations with both deep pockets and the ability to trade silently.

The icing on the cake is market volume. When events like these manipulations take place, volume is usually way below normal on that day. This indicates the big players are staying out because they don’t want to get nailed by betting against the FED.


17 posted on 03/01/2015 6:46:41 AM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("Don't compare me to the almighty, compare me to the alternative." -Obama, 09-24-11)
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To: expat_panama

Google the PPT plunge protection team is a real organization that went full throttle in 2008 and has never backed down. You can actually see their actions watch the standard and Poor index at 2 hours until closing on a down day you often see a sudden uptick one hour before closing after an all day negative session that takes it to just below neutral or slightly positive. it has been proven to be the fed working through the PPT. Our markets are 100% minulapited by the federal reserve and member banks and several large overseas market makers to smooth out the “normal” market forces.


18 posted on 03/01/2015 6:54:38 AM PST by pwatson
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
considerable evidence going way back to when some trader noted stock manipulations being done late at night involving huge trades

Off hours purchases by the Federal reserve --had to have been on say, the Tokyo exchange.   You have a link by any chance --or at least a date, price and stock ticker?

19 posted on 03/01/2015 7:06:09 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: pwatson
plunge protection team is a real organization that went full throttle in 2008

--and failed to prevent stocks plunging another 20% in '09.

People like to think the government is all powerful and many of those people think the government can run everyone's work day.  Not a chance.  OK so the U.S. gov't seems pretty big but compared to the American people it's small potatoes.

20 posted on 03/01/2015 7:16:13 AM PST by expat_panama
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