Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Popman

You failed to cite or link your source which is the Cook Political Report headed by Charles Cook, a well-known Beltway mercenary who sells what you want to hear for a price you’re willing to pay. And he bases his results on a Gallop Poll which is not the only poll to capture the astounding 42% but who nonetheless always oversample democrats in the subgroup breakdowns.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/6608

Cook can do simple crosstabs statistics but he can’t sample because sampling costs money. He goes for the bargain basement sample which is Gallop.

So you’re starting off on shaky ground to say the least.

But then you destroy your credibility by reaching back to voter results in 2008 and 2012 when the Independents registered as 24% of the electorate, not 42% as in 2014.

And you failed to mention that Romney won the Independent vote in 2012 but not by much. In fact, if he had been a real conservative and not such a liar, he would have won much more of the independent vote and the Presidency as a result.

The majority of Independents are Conservative and they greatly support Ted Cruz.


83 posted on 01/25/2015 9:01:44 AM PST by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies ]


To: Hostage
The best indicator of future behavior is past behavior...

Past behavior indicated independents vote at least 40 % or more democrat...

The majority of Independents are Conservative and they greatly support Ted Cruz.

That's an opinion not backed up any any current polling...

Though I certainly would like to think your "opinion" is correct, it's still just an opinion...

I might add, the GOPe has the money purses in their back pocket...where exactly is Ted Cruz going to get the funding to run and win primaries...

Politicas after all is said and done is a lot more about money than principles...

Your problem is one of being myopic...you see politics though the prism of your conservatism...

In my business I meet thousands of people a year...I know lots of people who are fine decent people who would believe it's against their core beliefs to vote for Cruz, ask them why and you get a deer in the headlines look...

85 posted on 01/25/2015 9:34:55 AM PST by Popman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 83 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson