You must not have been reading very much about electoral changes.
The electorate composition has radically altered itself from 2012 to 2014.
In 2012, the Independents comprised 24% of the electorate, In 2014 they comprised an astounding 42%. Look it up.
And the Independents are not squish moderates. They are independently minded and fed up with both parties. They are Conservative in the majority.
Walker will not get the swing voters. He will run to the right as he does now and then swing to the establishment where he will lose the majority faction which now are the Independents. The Independents are smart and informed, they can see right past the BS that candidates put up.
Ted can continue to wear the GOP label but run as an Independent.
Here’s how Ted wins as a GOP Independent:
60% of the Independents or 24% of the Electorate.
95% of the Conservative GOP Base or 20% of the Electorate.
53% of the Latino vote or 4% of the Electorate.
98% of the Blue Collar Perot demographic or 3% of the Electorate.
90% OF THE Reagan democrats or 2% of the Electorate.
Total 53% of the Electorate.
Some remarks:
1. Latinos voted 40% for Ted Cruz in the general election for TX US Senator.
2. Latinos tend to vote for Latinos first, and Party second.
3. Anti-GOP/Cruz democrat voting Latinos will stay home if Executive Amnesty is stopped (because of democrat empty rhetoric and ineptness).
4. The Blue Collar Perot voter has been pinpointed as the demographic that sunk Romney in 2012. These are very stubborn voters who will stay home unless an independent true conservative leaning candidate emerges and convinces them they are the real deal (they saw Romney as a liar).
5. The Reagan democrats will vote for a perceived moderate democrat if that’s what’s on the ticket but will crossover to a strong Independent if there is that choice. Such a strong Independent can wear the GOP label but must be viewed as outside the GOP Establishment.
Some remarks on how Ted increases his margin of victory from 53% to 55%:
1. Pro-Israel American Jews will back Ted strongly. Although they are small as a percentage of the Electorate, they are a large in influence.
2. Some GOP moderates sensing a GOP Establishment loss will cross over and vote for a GOP Independent candidate. The moderates are largely groups that feed at the government trough and desire continuity and stability. Ted will attract many of these via his strong stance on defense and NASA.
You mean the same independents that put Obama in office ...in 2008 and 2012...
2008 - 52 % independents voted for Obama...
2012 - 45% independents voted for Obama...
In 2014 election cycle independent voters broke this way:
" 47% of Americans identify as Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, and 41% identify as Republicans or lean to the Republican Party." Just 10 percent of Americans can be identified as "pure independents."
Yes...these independents will put Cruz over the top...?