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To: Theoria

This article does not square with the numbers being reported by WHO for the three West African countries where the Ebola outbreak is most prevalent.

http://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.ebola-sitrep.ebola-summary-latest?lang=en

Here are the numbers:

Date Cases Deaths
08/29/14 3,052 1,546
09/05/14 3,944 2,097
09/08/14 4,269 2,288
09/16/14 4,963 2,453
09/18/14 5,335 2,622
09/22/14 5,843 2,803
09/24/14 6,242 2,909
09/26/14 6,553 3,083
10/01/14 7,157 3,330
10/03/14 7,470 3,431
10/08/14 8,011 3,857
10/10/14 8,376 4,024
10/15/14 8,937 4,484
10/17/14 9,191 4,546
10/22/14 9,911 4,868
10/25/14 10,114 4,912
11/07/14 13,241 4,950
11/12/14 14,068 5,147
11/14/14 14,383 5,165
11/19/14 15,113 5,406
11/21/14 15,319 5,444
11/26/14 15,901 5,674
12/01/14 16,899 5,987
12/02/14 17,111 6,055
12/04/14 17,256 6,113
12/05/14 17,517 6,187
12/08/14 17,800 6,331
12/10/14 17,908 6,373
12/11/14 18,118 6,533
12/12/14 18,188 6,583
12/15/14 18,464 6,841
12/17/14 18,569 6,900
12/19/14 19,031 7,373
12/22/14 19,340 7,518
12/23/14 19,431 7,565
12/24/14 19,463 7,573
12/26/14 19,695 7,693
12/29/14 20,081 7,842
12/30/14 20,129 7,879
12/31/14 20,171 7,890
01/02/15 20,381 7,989
01/05/15 20,656 8,153
01/06/15 20,712 8,220
01/08/15 20,972 8,259
01/09/15 21,086 8,289
01/12/15 21,171 8,371
01/14/15 21,261 8,414
01/15/15 21,329 8,444
01/16/15 21,373 8,468

These numbers show continued exponential growth. Granted, the rate of increase has slowed in relationship to data posted from preceding months, but it has NOT stopped.

The current trendline based on the past 30 days of data shows that the case count is growing by just under five tenths of one percent per day. That may not seem like much, but it means about 50 to 100 new cases per day. I estimate the current count of persons with active infections to be in the neighborhood of more than one thousand.

Someone is lying - either The Washington Post or WHO.

I do NOT believe The Washington Post.


10 posted on 01/18/2015 6:46:46 PM PST by TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed (Yahuah Yahusha)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed

Its possible that most of the new cases being reported are in Sierra Leone or Guinea, and that the outbreak in Monrovia has indeed burned itself out.

The real danger is still leakage to another location.


11 posted on 01/18/2015 6:51:42 PM PST by buwaya
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed

Wait, are you saying the Messiah didn’t cure Ebola? Blaspheme!


14 posted on 01/18/2015 7:20:09 PM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed
U.S.-built Ebola treatment centers in Liberia are nearly empty as outbreak fades

Yes, and Al Quaeda has been decimated and the deficit cut in half.

19 posted on 01/18/2015 8:01:22 PM PST by The_Media_never_lie (The media must be defeated any way it can be done.)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed
These numbers show continued exponential growth.

The numbers appear to be cumulative totals, beacuse the differences are small, but always positive. The cases and deaths seem to have been growing at a roughly constant, but slowly diminishing rate. I see 60 deaths a day in early September diminishing to 40 then 20 or 30 in early January. This is far from "exponential" but it doesn't give me warm fuzzies.

20 posted on 01/18/2015 8:52:11 PM PST by dr_lew
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed
These numbers show continued exponential growth

Actually, if you graph the numbers, you will see that, rather than growing "exponentially", the growth is actually LESS than "straight-line". In other words, the number of cases per day is getting lower.

At the peak, we were getting 260+ new cases a day.

IN the last week of your numbers, that had dropped to about 41 new cases a day.

Remember that they had beds for a certain number of cases already. Since they now have a lot fewer cases, the extra beds we added are going unused.

31 posted on 01/21/2015 11:13:25 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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