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Boom Goes The Dynamite: Oil's Price Crash Is Going To Rip The Global Economy To Shreds
Seeking Alpha ^ | 13 Jan 15 | Michael T. Snyder

Posted on 01/14/2015 5:41:59 PM PST by SkyPilot

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To: editor-surveyor
The 50% is up to a quickly reached limit in most cases.

Sure, I'm not recommending investing beyond the 3~6% of gross limit set by most companies.

But within that limit, it is hard to find a better investment. Above that make your own IRA or the like.

281 posted on 01/18/2015 11:11:54 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Vermont Lt
Consider what happen in Switzerland last week. Billions were lost in minutes. That could be the trigger. If that happened in Hong Kong the whole house of cards comes down. It is all connected.

Agree with your analysis. Is the bond market the key because almost every government today is so dependent on central banking?

Believe it or not, there are many posters here, and posters on many other boards, who still claim that things are NOT connected by an electronic global financial enterprise. They make statements such as "what do I care what happens in China?" and "Cash is king baby, the US dollar will not end in my lifetime." Or my personal favorite: "My IRA is secure because I study things."

282 posted on 01/18/2015 11:32:50 AM PST by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: editor-surveyor
You have to do all of your planning with the reality of the IMF’s ‘SDRs’ in mind; that is the ultimate purpose of their monetary manipulations. They are working hard to demolish national governments, looking forward to their beloved “Man of Sin” taking the reigns. Even for the unprepared, the chaos will be short lived. Daniel’s 70th week is seven years long, the first 3.5 years of which is the monetary chaos that is approaching.

You sir/ma'am are very, very wise.

And yes, the SDR (Special Drawing Rights) will be the new global currency, although I don't know what they will yet call it exactly.

I guess the term "Global Money" is too creepy. Maybe they will just stick with SDR.

283 posted on 01/18/2015 11:35:10 AM PST by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: SkyPilot

There are of ton of people who think a lot of outdated things.

Is it likely the dollar reserve status will remain? The dollar reserve status is based on the petro dollar. The Brics are setting up a different system now. Does it mean the dollar is gone tomorrow? Probably not. But did the British think the pound Sterling was going to go bust back in the forties?

The key to the bonds are the derivatives that leverage just about everything at huge ratios. It’s easy to make money when you just roll the futures contracts over and over. Except when there is a sudden disruption. Then if you are on the wrong side, you are screwed.

401k accounts are generally not insured. Sure, the likelihood of them going to zero is nil, there are people who anticipate bail ins which will grab funds or mandates that require a portion invested in bonds.

When I hear anyone saying something will “never happen” I get nervous. People write on blogs in extremes. I don’t believe that we will be living in bear skins and eating small animals. I do believe we will see another recession and large war. I think we will see it relatively soon.


284 posted on 01/18/2015 11:51:36 AM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: editor-surveyor

401ks get hurt by falling stock prices. And stock prices will will certainly fall.


285 posted on 01/18/2015 12:13:01 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

401Ks can be metal based.


286 posted on 01/18/2015 1:45:28 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: editor-surveyor

Yes. You are correct.

But, even metal based 401ks can be subject to a bail in.

I guess I was referring to the average joe 401k who doesn’t pay attention.

In the past several weeks I’ve moved most of my 401k into “stable mm” accounts. It won’t go up to the blow off top, but it won’t go down much either.

But we both know 99% of 401ks just sit there in a 20## retirement fund.


287 posted on 01/18/2015 2:07:56 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

The “bail in” is an unconstitutional taking of property.

WE know that our government is ruthless enough to go for it, but the probable result would be armed riots throughout the country, with local police and governments bearing the harsh casualties.


288 posted on 01/18/2015 3:36:25 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: editor-surveyor

Actually it’s not. The federal government cannot do a thing about it. When deposit in a bank, you are not the owner of the money. You are a creditor. And the bad news is you are way down the list of folks to get repaid.

Of course, there is FDIC insurance. If a couple of big banks tank, forget about FDIC. It will be bankrupt. And THAT is when those who have, will be asked to give just a little, to those who do not have.

I am not saying this will happen. I am saying it could happen.


289 posted on 01/18/2015 4:38:30 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

You’ve confused apples and oranges.

The arbitrary taking of funds held by a guarantor is not an insolvency, it is a taking of property.

Trusts are constitutionally protected contracts. The Gov is specifically prohibited from impairing any contract.

I know that doesn’t mean they won’t do it; they’ve defecated on that document frequently in the last 150 years or so.

.


290 posted on 01/18/2015 5:04:06 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: editor-surveyor

No. I was a banker for a lot of years.

You are wrong.

When you deposit money into the bank it goes on their books as a liability and you become a creditor.

If the bank goes insolvent, the succession of creditors that are paid out go following a specific line of payment. Depositors are third or fourth on the list.

The choice, in the hypothetical case of bail ins, is that you give up 15% of your money (for example), or you get nothing.

In Cyprus anyone with more than $100,000 (or so) got the hair cut on everything over that level.

If your choice is a bail in or complete failure of the system..the fed is not going ask your permission.

You are confusing the Fed with Federal.


291 posted on 01/18/2015 5:29:48 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

Most retirement funds are held by a trustee, not a bank.

Trustees’ first obligation is to the trustor.

You apparently do not understand fiduciary commitment; no surprise if you were in banking, banks are just boxes full of criminals in suits.

.


292 posted on 01/18/2015 7:20:12 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Fightin Whitey
I had a Vega airborne once for a considerable distance, and did other things most folks would not consider the car capable of.

If you were on the accelerator a good half second before you needed the power, it was there when you needed it. The 4-speed was great on gravel, too.

The last one I had I bought for 20 bucks, put a new radiator in it after jacking the front back into place (bought it from a friend who had parked it on a rock), and drove it for a couple of years--mostly in town because it shook like Chuck Yeager's plane breaking the sound barrier at 50 or better.

I sold it to a guy who wanted the steering gear for a hot rod project, for more than I paid for it.

293 posted on 01/18/2015 7:49:03 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: editor-surveyor

All of a sudden you are talking about retirement accounts?

We were talking about bail ins at banks.

When did you switch to retirements?


294 posted on 01/18/2015 8:27:49 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

.
>> “All of a sudden you are talking about retirement accounts?” <<

.
That is what the rest of us were discussing when you jumped in.

Banking was your diversion, but we had already accepted that what was in the Beast’s coffers was not to be relied upon.

401Ks are only intended for retirement.

.


295 posted on 01/19/2015 10:21:24 AM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Ditto that....and 1972 also....


296 posted on 01/19/2015 10:23:51 AM PST by Osage Orange (I have strong feelings about gun control. If there's a gun around, I want to be controlling it.)
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To: editor-surveyor

Ok, my mistake. Apologies all around.

But, as I said earlier...do you think most people will be wise enough to change the investment choices in their 401ks? Except for you and I, do you think many other people will not get slaughtered in the next crash. They did not learn.


297 posted on 01/19/2015 1:24:26 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: editor-surveyor

Well stated. The summing up, is due. In this year, the Jubilee is underway. Regardless, to anyone caring or not.


298 posted on 01/21/2015 11:18:45 PM PST by RedHeeler
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To: RedHeeler

.
>> “ In this year, the Jubilee is underway...” <<

.
God’s years do not begin when man’s years do.

Shemitta should begin on man’s March 22, at sunset this year, depending on the Barley being ‘Aviv.’

.


299 posted on 01/22/2015 8:55:02 AM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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