http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/new-hampshire/exit-polls
Even if half the Indys in NH leave the GOP primary and switch to the DEM (it will be more like 1/3 or 1/4 as those INDYs inclined to the DEMs did not vote heavily in the ‘12 race) ... even still ... there is a substantial Huntsman vote in half the state. Outside of the 2 suburban eastern counties.
The primary electorate in NH has become liberal. 62% described themselves as moderate to liberal on social philosophy. Just Leave me out of it.
2012 NH turnout 248k
2008 NH turnout 235k
no sign of a big “crossover” that will go back to the DEM primary in 2016.