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High Noon on the Gulf Coast: Canada, Saudi Oil Set for Showdown
Reuters via Rig Zone ^ | January 06, 2015 | Catherine Ngai

Posted on 01/06/2015 10:43:07 AM PST by thackney

As a test of wills between OPEC nations and U.S. shale drillers fuels a global oil market slump, a brewing battle between Canadian and Saudi Arabia heavy crudes for America's Gulf Coast refinery market threatens to drive prices even lower.

While the stand-off between the oil cartel and U.S. producers of light, sweet shale oil has captured the limelight in recent months, the clash over heavier grades - playing out in the shadowy, opaque physical market - may put even more pressure on global prices that have halved since mid-2014.

Two factors will come into play over the next few weeks: From the North, new oil pipelines will pump record volumes of Canadian crude to the southern refineries, many better equipped to process heavy crudes than lighter shale oil.

From the Middle East, top exporter Saudi Arabia is offering crude at discounted prices in an attempt to defend its remaining share of the important regional market, which has shrunk by more than half in recent months.

"So far, the Gulf Coast has suffered from an oversupply of light oil, but now there's competition for heavier crude," said Sandy Fielden at RBN Energy. With the Saudis already facing fierce competition for their light grades, the arrival of Canadian crude "could add insult to injury", he said.

On Monday, Saudi Aramco stepped up its counteroffensive, cutting its monthly U.S.-bound price for Arab Medium for a sixth straight month, putting it at the deepest discount against the regional sour crude benchmark since December 2013..

The timing of this clash may magnify its market impact as Houston-area oil refiners shut down for maintenance in early spring, further reducing their demand by an estimated 1 million barrels a day (bpd).

"We'll see that overhang into the summer, at least," said one physical crude trader.

(Excerpt) Read more at rigzone.com ...


TOPICS: Canada; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aramco; canada; energy; oil; opec; refineries; saudiarabia; shaleoil

1 posted on 01/06/2015 10:43:07 AM PST by thackney
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To: Squawk 8888

Canada versus Saudi Arabia


2 posted on 01/06/2015 10:44:26 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

And now with the Keystone veto coming, we know which side Obama is on.


3 posted on 01/06/2015 12:20:47 PM PST by Phillyred
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To: thackney; Clive; exg; Alberta's Child; albertabound; AntiKev; backhoe; Byron_the_Aussie; ...
To all- please ping me to Canadian topics.

Canada Ping!

4 posted on 01/06/2015 1:08:17 PM PST by Squawk 8888 (Will steal your comments & post them on Twitter)
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To: Squawk 8888

I don’t know...having a maple leaf on a fighter? Does not seems appropo.


5 posted on 01/06/2015 2:32:01 PM PST by DennisR (Look around - God gives countless, indisputable clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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To: DennisR

It’s not like it’s an olive branch.


6 posted on 01/06/2015 4:07:16 PM PST by Dartman (CDN PM Stephen Harper may not be perfect, but we don't have to be ashamed or embarassed of him.)
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To: thackney

7 posted on 01/06/2015 4:08:18 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: thackney

How many oil producers have a six month time horizon? I suspect it’s measured in decades.


8 posted on 01/06/2015 8:03:53 PM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: DennisR
What do you think would be more appropriate? A beaver?

A moose?

A couple of geese?

I rather like that paint scheme. It's proud, yet somewhat understated. Kinda like Canada, eh?

9 posted on 01/06/2015 10:54:14 PM PST by Don W (When blacks riot, neighborhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: Don W
Oh, grammar/spelling nazi moment: It's apropos. Just FYI.
10 posted on 01/06/2015 10:55:44 PM PST by Don W (When blacks riot, neighborhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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