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Yes, Venezuela could collapse if oil keeps dropping
American Thinker ^ | 12/17/2014 | Silvio Canto Jr.

Posted on 12/17/2014 6:44:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind

The drop in gasoline prices is a wonderful Christmas present for U.S. consumers.  It's great up here, but keep an eye on Venezuela.  The country could collapse if prices keep dropping.

TIME magazine has a good summary about the mess in Caracas:

The economic dysfunction and falling price of oil leaves Maduro in a tough spot. He lacks both the political will and popularity to push through meaningful reforms to push Venezuela’s economic house in order. At the same time, he is being increasingly squeezed by the weakness in the oil price. Hugo Chávez was luckier. At the height of his powers, he commanded widespread domestic acclaim, and was buoyed by rising oil prices on the world markets (he was also adept at showmanship, hosting, for example, OPEC heads of state in Caracas soon after he first came to power). Maduro faces an altogether more challenging environment.

“Ordinary Venezuelans are starting to get tired of slogans and socialist rhetoric and no concrete actions on any front,” says Moya-Ocampos. “As the economy deteriorates, so will the political situation in Venezuela.”

There are several reasons that make Venezuela acutely vulnerable to a drop in oil prices:

1) The extremely inefficient public sector paid for by high oil prices.

2) the domestic subsidies, from cheap gasoline to giving Cuba cheap oil.  These subsidies have bought votes for the Chavez-Maduro regimes.  My guess is that these subsidies would have to be curtailed substantially if oil prices keeps dropping.

3) Maduro is in a very weak political position.  He is not Chavez, a more popular figure who got to govern at a time when oil prices could finance every scheme and ambitious project.

There is a perfect storm brewing in Venezuela, and the leadership looks totally unprepared for it.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; maduro; oil; opec; venezuela
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1 posted on 12/17/2014 6:44:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Funny thing about these socialist paradises - they never seem to be self sustaining.


2 posted on 12/17/2014 6:45:48 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SeekAndFind

Venezuela WILL collapse and oil dropping will not be the reason (it will just accelerate it)


3 posted on 12/17/2014 6:45:52 AM PST by Mr. K (Palin/Cruz 2016)
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To: SeekAndFind

Good as an object lesson in Socialism/Communism, bad for the peeps.


4 posted on 12/17/2014 6:46:05 AM PST by Paladin2
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh, bad news

Oil is down $1

http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/


5 posted on 12/17/2014 6:48:03 AM PST by AppyPappy (If you are not part of the solution, there is good money to be made prolonging the problem.)
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To: Mr. K
From "Thou Shall Prosper":

From the Bible and its oral tradition, Jews constantly hear God expressing this refrain to humanity:

I have created most of you with almost limitless yearnings and desires, but I have placed you in a world with apparently limited resources. It may seem that there is not enough for everyone. However, if you follow my rules of ongoing and constant cooperation, there will be more than enough for everyone. Should you decide to try it on your own, you will condemn yourself to a constant struggle for survival. I have set up the world in mysterious and counterintuitive ways. You are going to have to be generous and giving to one another. You are going to have to cooperate with one another, and you are going to have to understand that interpersonal economic interaction through Ethical Capitalism is good and pleases Me, while many of the other attempts to solve the problem of extracting a living from the world without voluntary cooperation are not only evil, but I have arranged for them ultimately to fail.


6 posted on 12/17/2014 6:48:20 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SeekAndFind

It would be funny if they gave their el presidente the il duce treatment.


7 posted on 12/17/2014 6:49:13 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Any energy source that requires a subsidy is, by definition, "unsustainable.")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Funny? More like poetic justice.


8 posted on 12/17/2014 6:54:04 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Venezuela collapsing?

Say it ain’t so!


9 posted on 12/17/2014 6:55:13 AM PST by PGR88
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To: SeekAndFind

10 posted on 12/17/2014 6:58:37 AM PST by Salgak (Peace through Superior Firepower. . . .)
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To: MrB

Venezuela has such control over it’s citizenry that they cannot even buy food without proper documentation (fingerprints).

If it collapses, so what? Brazil and Argentina have been teetering for years.


11 posted on 12/17/2014 6:58:51 AM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
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To: SeekAndFind

My only regret is that when the revolution happens, Chavez is not there to be the one hung upside down and spat on in the streets....


12 posted on 12/17/2014 7:02:32 AM PST by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: PGR88
Venezuela collapsing?

Whatever will Sean Penn and the rest of those morons do?

13 posted on 12/17/2014 7:02:54 AM PST by dearolddad (/i>)
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To: SeekAndFind

Something interesting I just found out.

While Venezuela harbors South America’s largest crude oil reserves, it also sits on a huge additional complement of Canada-like “oil sands,” second only to Canada in tar-sands reserves in the Athabasca region of its Alberta Province.

http://www.desertsun.com/story/money/industries/morrisbeschlosseconomics/2014/08/17/venezuela-abandons-citgo-petroleum-corp-and-supplemental-u-s-holdings/14199645/


14 posted on 12/17/2014 7:08:23 AM PST by McGruff (Ummm...)
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To: dearolddad

Blame the USA for the collapse of Venezuela.

Obviously, if we’d banned fracking when we should have, this wouldn’t have happened.


15 posted on 12/17/2014 7:09:29 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: McGruff

We (humans of the world) will NOT EVER run out of oil.


16 posted on 12/17/2014 7:10:08 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SeekAndFind
aren't we told on nearly a daily basis that the entire world economy is now linked due to globalization?

Are we playing with fire here?

This could EASILY spin out of control and take the entire worlds economy down with it, and with Obola in charge... *shudder*

17 posted on 12/17/2014 7:15:16 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: MrB

Sure would be nice to have all that oil available as a democractic state. Although that wouldn’t happen under Obama if he can help it.


18 posted on 12/17/2014 7:18:27 AM PST by McGruff (Ummm...)
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To: dearolddad

Who will pay Joe Kennedy’s $400K salary to run the “charity” that sells cheap Venezuelan heating oil?


19 posted on 12/17/2014 7:20:04 AM PST by woodbutcher1963
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To: McGruff

This heavy crude produced a very desirable roofing flux that was shipped to the port of Mobile and made its way into dozens of asphalt shingle plants in the US.

Hugo decided instead to blend this product off and sell it for much less to China. Pure genius.


20 posted on 12/17/2014 7:27:03 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Rip it out by the roots.)
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