Posted on 11/18/2014 9:12:15 PM PST by iowamark
Working on it (not in a literal sense, of course).
Huck will suck all the wind out of the Santorum energy; he's right about that. I think 2-1 is way too high for Huck here, but I think 20-1 is too good for Santorum too.
I would agree with that, and happily so.
Right, Iowa was picking corn in January.
Anyway do you really think the purpose is to guess who the ultimate winner will be? Iowa's role has always been to winnow the field, not to "pick the winner." We pare the field down to 3-5 candidates so everyone else can pick the winner from a manageable field rather than from the 9-12 we'll start with.
The Iowa City Indians?
I don’t necessarily see any advantage for Huck over Santorum, but then again, this is not my niche of the electorate. There appears to be about 30% of the Iowa Caucus voters who are simply going to vote for someone who emphasizes nothing but social issues. RS got them all in 12, Huck got most of them in 08.
RS is an eastern lawyer, city-slicker Catholic.
Huck is rural, Baptist preacher.
Social issues to some means Gospel issues to others. It’s national revival, not the Supreme COurt.
Not sure I understand the point.
It's not my niche either, but I have many close friends who are part of this crowd, including some very connected with the Family Leader, etc. There is nearly zero excitement about Santorum running again, but there's definitely interest in Huckabee. But Walker and Cruz (and Ben Carson) have a chance with these voters. I find it to be a strange mentality - it's more like they're looking for a personality cult to join rather than it being only about issues, even social issues. They want someone who "feels" like "one of them" more than anything else, I think.
Interesting take - I think you might be onto something.
No.
The evangelical politicos in Iowa are interested in Identity Politics, not issues.
They want a Christian figure to lead political revival. They aren’t focused on government issues. Huckabee fits the description of a national pastor-preacher. Not Santorum. And that is why they rejected Fred Thompson, despite his political background.
They are not interested in “issues”, but rather platitudes and rhetoric. They want to hear the Gospel from their candidate. As Huckabee says, “I speak the language of Zion as my native tongue.”
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