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Why the Media, seduced by the polls, were stunned by the huge Democratic Defeat
FOX News ^ | Novermber 6, 2014 | Howard Kurtz

Posted on 11/06/2014 8:25:15 AM PST by Din Maker

It’s clear now that most prognosticators underestimated the depth of the Republican triumph in the midterms by slavishly hewing to the polls.

Perhaps some journalists were depressed about the Democrats’ very bad night. The losing Democrats were bigger names—Sam Nunn’s daughter, Morris Udall’s son, Jimmy Carter’s grandson, David Pryor’s son, and folks like Charlie Crist and Kay Hagan—than such Republican newcomers as David Perdue and Thom Tillis.

One exception to the MSM’s Democratic-centric coverage has been crediting the Republican Party with recruiting good candidates. And GOP officials were happy to help reporters write that story.

“One night in early September, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell called a longtime colleague, Sen. Pat Roberts, furious about the 78-year-old Republican’s fumbling and lethargic reelection campaign.

“McConnell was blunt. A shake-up was needed. Roberts unleashed a flurry of expletives at McConnell. Ultimately, though, the ex-Marine gave in. The next day, he led campaign manager Leroy Towns, 70, a retired college professor and confidant, into a Topeka conference room and fired him. Roberts, of course, held his seat after what looked like a strong challenge from independent Greg Orman.

Which brings me back to the question of polls. In the final stretch of the campaign, pundits on the left and the right portrayed Orman as a possible winner over Roberts. Alison Grimes as a possible winner over McConnell. Kay Hagan as a possible winner over Thom Tillis. Michelle Nunn as a possible winner over David Perdue. Bruce Braley a possible winner over Joni Ernst.

They did all of this, and more, on the basis of polls that showed these races to be incredibly tight, when in fact McConnell clobbered Grimes by 15 points and Nunn couldn’t even get to the runoff that everyone expected.

The political landscape changed Tuesday night.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: media
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We all need to remember this and not allow the polls to cause us to get our "panties in a wad" in 2016. Americans are becoming more and more independent in their political thinking; not to mention the fact that the U.S.A. has evolved into a very complicated culture. It would behoove us to not try to get into the heads, or the political mind-set of voters, in the future.
1 posted on 11/06/2014 8:25:15 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Din Maker

The media was not “seduced by polls”. It was status quo for the side wing of the DNC. The media was working to seduce low information and malleable women voters.


2 posted on 11/06/2014 8:27:54 AM PST by Baynative (Did you ever notice that atheists don't dare sue Muslims?)
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To: Din Maker

Cruz saved Roberts by giving conservatives the impetus they needed to vote. Check the polls immediately before and after Cruz’s visit.

Roberts owes his seat to Cruz.


3 posted on 11/06/2014 8:27:58 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (I'M WITH CRUZ!)
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To: Din Maker
Also need to consider that the polls may well be skewed, not only because of bad samples, refusals to participate, etc. but also because some of the pollsters are in the Dems' back pocket. The phenomenon of the "push poll" is well known to all.

The only poll that counts is the one on the first Tuesday in November.

4 posted on 11/06/2014 8:28:05 AM PST by AnAmericanMother (Ecce Crucem Domini, fugite partes adversae. Vicit Leo de Tribu Iuda, Radix David, Alleluia!)
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To: Din Maker

Why the Media were stunned by the huge Democratic Defeat?

None of them know anyone who votes Republican.


5 posted on 11/06/2014 8:29:19 AM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: Baynative

And, the media who interpret and report on polls are liberal. They are members of the Washington/New York media axis. Their world view compels them to interpret polls in a certain way. And this is reflected in their reporting.


6 posted on 11/06/2014 8:31:37 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego (s)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Let’s not forget to add Sarah Palin to the “help” Roberts people. What this shows is there is about a 4 point msm poll advantage for the dimoKKKRATS. So let us keep that in mind for the 2016 election cycle.


7 posted on 11/06/2014 8:33:03 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Din Maker
This Is Why We Need FR!


Click Noam Chomsky To Donate

Support FR, Donate Monthly If You Can


8 posted on 11/06/2014 8:33:22 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Islam/ISIS = The Ebola of religious/political ideologies!)
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To: BenLurkin

Well said. All these media people are part of the Washington/New York media axis. They live on the upper west side. They rarely get out of Manhattan or Washington. They don’t know any Republicans. They believe the “what’s the matter with Kansas” business, in which they can’t believe how it is that so many vote for Republicans.


9 posted on 11/06/2014 8:34:03 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego (s)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Let us hope the GOP understands they owe everything to the folks who actually vote for them. Let the Klown claim he hears those who don’t vote. Ask him and even he would admit he much prefer they voted for him.


10 posted on 11/06/2014 8:34:40 AM PST by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Uncle Miltie; Din Maker

In Kansas rescue mission, Palin gives Roberts tea party approval
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/09/25/in-kansas-rescue-mission-palin-gives-roberts-tea-party-approval/


11 posted on 11/06/2014 8:36:14 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: Din Maker
Can someone please tell me what the difference is between the Main Stream Media and the democrat party?

Are they not one in the same?

So, if this is true, we could change the headline to:

Why the Media, seduced by the polls, were stunned by the huge Media Defeat

12 posted on 11/06/2014 8:38:22 AM PST by Alas Babylon!
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To: Din Maker
Most polls are propaganda, especially any "commissioned" by the LSM.

And they idiots working in the LSM actually believed them.

Like the oft paraphrased Pauline Kael: "I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken. But sometimes when I’m in a theater I can feel them."

The more things change...the media lives in a special world, and only deigns to acknowledge the existence of others when they can find their own useful idiots, such as the wildly incensed takers in Ferguson, MO stoked up by their poverty pimping fellow travelers in both government and the racial discord biz.

13 posted on 11/06/2014 8:38:46 AM PST by Calvin Locke
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To: Din Maker

The close poll numbers are a deliberate effort by the polling wing of the democrat party to make the races appear closer, and thereby winnable, to convince those to vote who might otherwise stay home. The real numbers come out a day or two before election day just so the pollster can recover some semblance of credibility for the next go-round.


14 posted on 11/06/2014 8:39:09 AM PST by MNnice
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That too!

;-)


15 posted on 11/06/2014 8:40:11 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (I'M WITH CRUZ!)
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To: Calvin Locke

Whose Ken?


16 posted on 11/06/2014 8:41:18 AM PST by Dr. Ursus
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To: Din Maker

Polling: The art of discovering whether or not the people were sufficiently fooled by your last poll.


17 posted on 11/06/2014 8:46:25 AM PST by EternalVigilance ('In politics the middle way is none at all.' -- John Adams)
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To: Din Maker

Will the Obama Media rally to prop up their dictator?

Or will they drift away like democrats running for reelection, pretending they never heard of him?


18 posted on 11/06/2014 8:47:19 AM PST by Iron Munro (4)
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To: Dr. Ursus
"ken", iirc, is Scottish for "knowledge [of]", experience, perception, etc.

Last time I heard it use in popular media was by Sheldon on The Big Bang Theory.

I looked it up eons ago when I read James Clavell's historical novel about the founding of Hong Kong. Lots of Scottish phrases...And Cantonese. "Dew neh low..."

19 posted on 11/06/2014 8:53:07 AM PST by Calvin Locke
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To: Din Maker
the story was, in essence, DEMOCRATS LOSE.

Even worse, some have been spinning it as INCUMBENTS LOSE, i.e., the voters are having a temper tantrum, they're upset with Congress as well as Obama, etc.

Ignoring the fact that the incumbents who lost were overwhelmingly Democrats.

20 posted on 11/06/2014 9:01:21 AM PST by MUDDOG
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