It is odd isn’t it?
Early voting should be aligned with the general polling, 15 points is a large discrepancy - unless all the other polls are wrong. If non early voting isn’t statistically inline with early voting, something is fraudulent.
You don't suppose the Rats are up to dirty tricks, do you?
I mean who would possibly stoop so low as to put out false information in order to discourage turnout? Not our Rats. Even they wouldn't stoop that low.
Unless they felt they had to.
This is simply an exit poll of early/mail-in voters. Remember the exit polls in 2004? They had Kerry winning by 5-6% points.
This is simply not true in Iowa. The stereotype is that Democrats vote early; Republicans vote on Election Day, and there's a lot of truth to it. A 15% lead for the Democrat is not at all unusual in a close race; if anything it's a little on the small side.
I have managed state legislative campaigns in Iowa that have won the Election Day vote by 10 points and still narrowly lost (and sometimes narrowly won).
Probably something like "vote early and vote often."
Moochelle was pushing the Vote Early idea recently--was it in FLorida?--and the other shoe destined to drop was clearly "vote often."