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It's Coming: $65 Oil {Good News / Bad News}
The Atlantic ^ | OCT 28 2014 | DEREK THOMPSON

Posted on 10/30/2014 4:47:37 AM PDT by thackney

Gas prices are falling below $3 a gallon across the United States for two big reasons: (1) the world economy is growing slower than we hoped, and (2) global oil production is improving faster than we expected.

"India and China are slowing down,” said Charles K. Ebinger, director of the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings. "The IMF just downgraded Europe’s growth to less than 1 percent, and they're already quite energy efficient. Brazil’s a problem, too. All around the world there is no great growth story, and expectations are that things will stay that way or get worse."

There is also unanticipated supply. A few years ago, political turmoil was taking up to 2 million barrels a day off the market. Now production is roaring back in Libya, southern Sudan, Yemen, Nigeria, and even Iraq, and the global price of crude has fallen about 25 percent in the last five months. It's the same old story: low demand, high supply, etc.

Andrew John Hall, the alleged "God" of oil trading, is predicting $150 barrels within the next five years. But the deeper you dig, the more reasons you find to be down on the price of oil in the near future. "Japan’s announcement that they’re starting two reactors means that there will be less oil import for Japan,” Ebinger said. Second, there are industrial shifts that are reducing oil’s share in the energy market. For example, many U.S. companies are using natural gas rather than petroleum products to power their refineries. Third, hedge funds...

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil
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1 posted on 10/30/2014 4:47:37 AM PDT by thackney
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To: thackney
It is only because elections are coming up and someone was told to drop the price. Prices WILL rise after the electiions. Give a month after the elections.
2 posted on 10/30/2014 4:58:52 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
someone was told to drop the price

Yeah, that's the ticket. Magic control of the world's commodity markets. All they had to do was ask. < /sarc>

3 posted on 10/30/2014 5:00:12 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: thackney

“Prices WILL rise after the elections.”

Only ignorant “O” supporters would fail to recognize this.


4 posted on 10/30/2014 5:00:47 AM PDT by SMARTY ("When you blame others, you give up your power to change." Robert Anthony)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Seriously? Look at the production increases in the USA and Canada. That says it all.


5 posted on 10/30/2014 5:02:33 AM PDT by hawkaw
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To: thackney

Finally! now I can afford to eat at McDonalds seven times a week!!!


6 posted on 10/30/2014 5:03:05 AM PDT by Cruz_West_Paul2016
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Looks like an election year pattern to me...


7 posted on 10/30/2014 5:03:59 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Cruz_West_Paul2016
Finally! now I can afford to eat at McDonalds seven times a week!!!

And use the drive-through!! (/s)

8 posted on 10/30/2014 5:06:02 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

with 2.50 gas, maybe braindead obama supporters will finally stop calling 911 every time their burger meals are screwed up.


9 posted on 10/30/2014 5:07:31 AM PDT by Cruz_West_Paul2016
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
It is only because elections are coming up and someone was told to drop the price

Bingo. Bingo, Bingo.

10 posted on 10/30/2014 5:07:33 AM PDT by Vinnie
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To: thackney

It’s a DEPRESSION, world-wide in scope, and nobody will call it for what it is.

In a normal boom-or-bust cycle of the whole world of economics, the bust, which evaporates all the excess medium of exchange from the trading markets, leads to more sound fiscal thinking, and despite the promises of Keynesian economics (which call for PUMPING UP the money supply), the reduced money in circulation should lead to a more solid basis of assigning worth to each unit of currency. People have less, of course, but this is balanced by the low and falling commodity prices, and generally the new equilibrium restores the ratios between income and outgo.

Thus resetting the growth patterns back to “normal”, establishing a new era of general prosperity.

Until some runaway notion or fad again bids up prices in an artificially induced scarcity, leading to a more and more false prosperity.

Dropping of petroleum prices at the end of the Bush 43 Presidency did nothing to preserve the White House for the Republicans, or even win back anything in either the House or Senate.

Debt, both internal and international between nations, is the driving factor for this explosion of confidence, as the debt load becomes too onerous to be supported by the various separate economies, and the house of (credit) cards comes tumbling down.


11 posted on 10/30/2014 5:15:49 AM PDT by alloysteel (Most people become who they promised they would never be.)
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To: thackney

That’s good news. The bad news is that it has to go for my Health insurance increase....thanks to Obamacare.


12 posted on 10/30/2014 5:18:05 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: thackney

They’ll drop until about mid-December.


13 posted on 10/30/2014 5:19:52 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: thackney

14 posted on 10/30/2014 5:20:55 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: thackney

$2.73/gallon in Lakewood, WA!


15 posted on 10/30/2014 5:21:58 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

I paid $2.63 in Pasadena, Texas this morning.


16 posted on 10/30/2014 5:22:47 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

does this mean the cost of a call girl will also drop 30%?


17 posted on 10/30/2014 5:23:13 AM PDT by Cruz_West_Paul2016
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To: thackney

Saw a couple stations on a remote part of I-5 in central CA yesterday. $4.39 to $4.59/gal. Didn’t stop to see if they were wearing guns.


18 posted on 10/30/2014 5:28:35 AM PDT by umgud (I couldn't understand why the ball kept getting bigger......... then it hit me.)
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To: Cruz_West_Paul2016

Gas will be $2.50, but the burger will be $19.95


19 posted on 10/30/2014 5:30:13 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: umgud
$2.70/9 for 87 oxy in mid Missouri.
$.50 spread for 93 straight premium !
20 posted on 10/30/2014 5:31:56 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Rip it out by the roots.)
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