Midterm elections tend to break late and in one direction. This seems a little early, but if it really is the break, the Democrats are not going to like how this turns out. I’ll feel better about it if next week’s polls reflect the same trend.
Ebola, Syria, Obamacare, Immigration. It could be a perfect storm. Voter fraud doesn’t work in that scenario.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Orman (I) | Roberts (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/16 - 10/7 | -- | -- | 44.7 | 42.0 | Orman +2.7 |
| FOX News* | 10/4 - 10/7 | 702 LV | 3.5 | 39 | 44 | Roberts +5 |
| CNN/Opinion Research | 10/2 - 10/6 | 687 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 49 | Roberts +1 |
| SurveyUSA* | 10/2 - 10/5 | 549 LV | 4.3 | 47 | 42 | Orman +5 |
| NBC News/Marist* | 9/27 - 10/1 | 636 LV | 3.9 | 48 | 38 | Orman +10 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov* | 9/20 - 10/1 | 2013 LV | 3.0 | 40 | 40 | Tie |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 9/27 - 9/30 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 46 | 41 | Orman +5 |
| Rasmussen Reports** | 9/16 - 9/17 | 750 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 40 | Orman +5 |
Ebola, Syria, Obamacare, Immigration. It could be a perfect storm. Voter fraud doesn’t work in that scenario.
Very good point. And you only mentioned a few things that add to the Perfect Storm.