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Poll: Walker opens lead in WI governor’s race amid Burke plagiarism scandal
The Wisconsin Reporter ^ | 10-1-14 | Adam Tobias

Posted on 10/02/2014 4:30:37 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic

MADISON, Wis. — The plagiarism scandal surrounding Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mary Burke may be affecting Wisconsin voters.

The latest Marquette University Law School poll, released Wednesday, shows incumbent Republican Gov. Scott Walker has opened up his lead against Burke by 5 percent among likely voters.

Of the 585 likely voters who participated in the Marquette poll between Sept. 25-28, 50 percent said they would vote for Walker; 45 percent said they would be voting for Burke. The poll’s margin of error is 4.1 percent.

Information for Marquette’s previous poll, which had Walker ahead of Burke by 3 percent, was collected between Sept. 11-14, several days before Buzzfeed first reported Burke’s campaign had lifted word-for-word numerous passages in her jobs plan from other sources. Buzzfeed also found additional instances of plagiarism in other Burke policy proposals.

“I would say it is plausible that, yes, that has moved some votes and, in fact, maybe counts for that 2 percent,” Marquette political science professor John McAdams told Wisconsin Reporter on Wednesday, shortly after the poll was made public.

The latest poll found 18 percent of respondents are less likely to vote for Burke after hearing her camp copied certain ideas from other plans. Almost 75 percent said Burke’s actions haven’t changed their opinions.

Trying to deflect the plagiarism scandal, the Burke campaign, which did not return calls from Wisconsin Reporter seeking comment, is instead focusing on the results of the 801 registered voters who participated in the poll.

Among that group, 46 percent said they support Walker, and 45 percent said they would vote for Burke. That poll’s margin of error is 3.5 percent.

Walker and Burke were tied at 46 percent in that same poll earlier this month.

“That this race remains too close to call shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone,” Burke for Wisconsin Communications Director Joe Zepecki said in a statement. “Over the last 2 weeks Governor Walker has stepped up the mudslinging and false, negative attacks in a desperate attempt to distract from his failed record.”

But Charles Franklin, professor of law and public policy and director of the Marquette Law School poll, says he puts more stock into the likely voter results because they tend to paint a more accurate picture.

“That’s why likely voters really are likely, and the others are pretty unlikely and certainly not that enthused about it,” Franklin said. “So, we’ve been saying now for several polls that as you get closer and closer to the election, the likely voters become the better measure of the election-day electorate.”

McAdams told Wisconsin Reporter that Burke also is more likely to be harmed by copying passages in her policy proposals because candidates who are not as well-known are more vulnerable to negative publicity.

“If it is a relatively unknown candidate, the first or early information they get can have a disproportionately large effect,” McAdams said. “Now, that doesn’t mean it will be a huge effect, but I think it could easily account for 2 percent.”

In January, 70 percent of the poll’s participants either hadn’t heard enough about Burke or didn’t know if they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her. That number has now dropped to 26 percent, which, McAdams says, could be attributed to the attention gained by the plagiarism accusations.

“So, clearly, between news coverage and between political ads … people have heard something about Mary Burke,” McAdams said.

Just more than an hour after the poll was released, Burke emailed supporters, asking to help raise $35,000 by midnight.

“They’re moving the needle among likely voters in their favor,” the email says of Walker and the state GOP. “This will come down to turnout, and we need to make sure we have the enthusiasm on the ground. We can’t let them move the needle anymore. We need to stand up against the millions they’re spending attacking us and make sure they know we’re ready to fight back.”


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: likelyvoters; marqutte; maryburke; plagiarism; scottwalker; unions; wisconsin
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1 posted on 10/02/2014 4:30:37 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: All

fraud is a resume enhancer for democrats... If this guy killed a girl in his car, or gave one a shiner he’d be employed for life.


2 posted on 10/02/2014 4:32:29 PM PDT by newnhdad (Our new motto: USA, it was fun while it lasted.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; ...

Walker leads in latest Marquette poll.

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


3 posted on 10/02/2014 4:32:35 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: afraidfortherepublic

I hope Wisconsin voters can steady their minds long enough to think the issues through and re-elect Walker. Unfortunately, Coloradans have taken another hit on the community bong and seem to be drifting mindlessly back toward Hickenlooper.


4 posted on 10/02/2014 4:33:37 PM PDT by ScottinVA (We either destroy ISIS there... or fight them here. Pick one, America.)
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To: newnhdad
If this guy killed a girl in his car...

"This guy" (the plagiarizer) is a woman.

5 posted on 10/02/2014 4:33:41 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: afraidfortherepublic

okay, if she killed a girl in her uterus she’d be employed for life.


6 posted on 10/02/2014 4:34:50 PM PDT by newnhdad (Our new motto: USA, it was fun while it lasted.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

This is encouraging, just wish the lead were double digits and well outside the MOE.

GO SCOTT GO!!!


7 posted on 10/02/2014 4:38:55 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Maybe Joe Biden can write a letter of support for her? I’m sure he can lift one from someplace.


8 posted on 10/02/2014 4:49:01 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (It takes a gun to feed a village,)
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To: newnhdad
She's currently on the Madison School Board

Strangely enough, being a plagiarizer is a resume enhancer with the teacher's union toadies as well.

These are the same teachers who turned in phony doctors slips for the days they played hooky so they could scream and cry and act like idiots at the capitol protests.

9 posted on 10/02/2014 4:52:13 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Obama Legacy: Bush's fault. Next guy's problem.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Ye Gods, how can the vote be THAT close? Don’t those idiots see what a good job Walker has done? What in the L is the matter with them?


10 posted on 10/02/2014 4:58:12 PM PDT by Oatka (This is America. Assimilate or evaporate.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic
"This guy" (the plagiarizer) is a woman.

Are you sure?

Looks like a pre-op tranny to me.

11 posted on 10/02/2014 5:10:16 PM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: smoothsailing

Meanwhile, here in Ohio, it looks like John Kasich will be re-elected to a second term. The latest poll has him at 57% to 35% over Demoncrat challenger, Fitzgerald. No one knows much about the D, and at times, it’s hard to even remember his name.


12 posted on 10/02/2014 5:50:40 PM PDT by Catsrus (A)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

“Walker leads in latest Marquette poll.”

Am I correct in understanding that this is a poll that consistently over-samples Dems in our state? I thought I read that, somewhere...

If true, Charles Franklin’s head is gonna be a glob of exploded mush by Election Day, LOL!


13 posted on 10/02/2014 6:55:12 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Can’t find the video of the commercial I saw this evening during suppertime. VERY powerful - about protecting women from abuse. Very, VERY powerful.

“I trust him.” From an honest-to-goodness domestic violence victim.


14 posted on 10/02/2014 7:00:29 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: smoothsailing

“...just wish the lead were double digits and well outside the MOE.”

Give us another week. :)


15 posted on 10/02/2014 7:01:40 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Mygirlsmom; All

“These are the same teachers who turned in phony doctors slips for the days they played hooky so they could scream and cry and act like idiots at the capitol protests.”

Ah, Yes. Our ‘Summer of Discotent...’ which has lasted over TWO YEARS, now.

Whiny-@ss BABIES. So, SO tired of them - and I’ll bet the rest of our state is, too! :)

I know YOU know this, MGM, but Scott Walker won the recall election by SEVEN points. That’s HUGE. And series! *SNORT*


16 posted on 10/02/2014 7:04:49 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Catsrus

*APPLAUSE*

Kasich has been through the ringer, too! God Bless him! :)


17 posted on 10/02/2014 7:05:52 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Catsrus

Who says liberal women are unattractive?


18 posted on 10/02/2014 7:06:09 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

OKAY!!! B^)


19 posted on 10/02/2014 7:15:36 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I saw that yesterday. That is a terrific commercial. It was posted here, somewhere.


20 posted on 10/02/2014 7:21:43 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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