Posted on 09/19/2014 5:52:15 AM PDT by C19fan
The world population may grow larger than previously estimated, reaching 11 billion people by century's end, according to a UN-led analysis published Thursday.
That would mean two billion more people on Earth than expected by 2100, largely due to high birth rates in Africa, said the report in the US journal Science.
"The consensus over the past 20 years or so was that world population, which is currently around seven billion, would go up to nine billion and level off or probably decline," said co-author Adrian Raftery, professor of statistics and of sociology at the University of Washington.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Population Bomb scare mongering all over again. Remember the First Earth Day? Ebola, AIDS, Malaria, West Nile, are only the first of several things that may well change this projection. We haven’t even considered, civil war, genocide, and starvation.
Having to Manufacture things to worry about should have ended when they elected Obozo in 2007.
Not my problem
Ah yes, first they tried global cooling. That did not work. Then they tried global warming. Now they will try over population. You are right on. It might just be another gimmick, to fleece American and west European countries. I think it is just another Paul Ehrlich wannabe, trying to resurrect the so called population bomb.
Current population of
Africa 1.111 billion
China 1.357 billion
India 1.252 billion
total 3.72 billion
Compare that with the USA which is only 313.9 million - less than 1/10 that.
If you look at world fertility rates they have been coming down over the past 100 years due to the increased financial prosperity of the average human being as well as social movements like Women’s Lib and the technological achievements that helped to accelerate that climb to prosperity.
But look at the population growth rates over time.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
The world population has experienced continuous growth since the end of the Great Famine and the Black Death in 1350, when it was near 370 million.[7] The highest growth rates – global population increases above 1.8% per year – occurred briefly during the 1950s, and for longer during the 1960s and 1970s. The global growth rate peaked at 2.2% in 1963, and has declined to below 1.1% as of 2012.
Milestones by the billions
It is estimated that the world population reached one billion for the first time in 1804. It was another 123 years before it reached two billion in 1927, but it took only 33 years to reach three billion in 1960.[67] Thereafter, the global population reached four billion in 1974, five billion in 1987, six billion in 1999 and, according to the United States Census Bureau, seven billion in March 2012.[66] The United Nations, however, estimated that the world population reached seven billion in October 2011.
1 billion 1804
2 billion 1804-1927/ 123 years
3 billion 1927-1959/ 32 years
4 billion 1959-1974/ 15 years
5 billion 1974-1987/ 13 years
6 billion 1987-1999/ 12 years
7 billion 1999-2012/ 13 years
It took longer to go from six to seven billion than it did from five to six. This makes sense if you take into consideration the declining growth rate. As long as people continue to live longer and have less children we will see it continue to take longer than 2100 reach 11 billion.
No kidding.
The way the Ebola virus is spreading, and Islam is killing, I think we are closer to 5 Billion by the middle of this century.
The future belongs to those who show up.
The key to population “control” / stability is simply to eliminate socialism and let 3rd world countries progress economically - not buy their food for them & not further abortion. Improved technology and living standards are shown to do two key things: Cleaner environments and lower the birth rates.
These fools always do straight line projections, which *never* come to pass.
And they make these projections *knowing* that they are hooey, because they are laying the groundwork for fully funded international birth control by abortion, Chinese style.
“But we *have* to do this, or we’ll all diiiiieeee!”
The last big refrain of this was from the Science fraud Paul R. Ehrlich in the 1970s with his “Population Bomb” scare book. He made dozens of predictions, and not a single dang one of them came to pass. And he didn’t care, because he was so arrogant about his righteousness.
It is the flip side of Man Made Global Warming. Which can be said because the solutions proposed by the population bombers and the MMGW crowd are identical.
A pox on both their houses.
If everyone was liberal, single, or gay, this wouldn’t be an issue.
That’s what I get out of this article.
By 2100 a flight to Mars might only take hours or All Chinese , Indians and Africans might be Sterile from their pollution
That picture is proof that “Planet of the Apes” takes place in central NJ.
Hans Rosling has an excellent TED talk on the “great fill-up”, how we’re at peak child of 2 billion but how the leveling off of the population will put us at 10 billion people.
America’s population was great when it was at about 200,000 in 1970, before the 1965 Immigration Act kicked in and destroyed us with mass immigration and multiculturalism.
Back then we had it all, we could win WWII, play golf on the moon, live in big cities without locking our doors, and after work still go do a little hunting, or find a bridge to fish under, and camping could be done within a half hour drive, we had national hopes, a national identity, and a national future back then, today we are just an address for the world’s population to work out of and make their short term gains as they exploit the host and hollow it out.
Here is Rosling's one hour documentary that aired on BBC. He leads you thru the 5th billion in Asia and 2nd, 3rd, and 4th billion in Africa. He covers the falling fertility rate, rising income, falling poverty, lifespans and education. Excellent graphics.
Good presentation.
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