That whole article, and the calculations within it, are total crap.
Their estimations is that, because in certain states, the chances of republicans winning are slightly less, but, the chances are still much higher than that of the democrats involved.
It’s like saying that, because Windows has lost a few thousand consumers, that Linux has a chance to become the number one laptop/desktop OS. VERY UNLIKELY!
I like your analogy, but, unfortunately, the GOP is LINUX, without the technical advantages.
The GOP should be far ahead, but Lucy is holding the ball again, Charlie.