Research Model Projects 1.1 Million to 2.3 Million Ebola Deaths By September 2015
Precisely why I wanted to remain anonymous!
Please, anyone reading this, understand that the model is the work of a knowledgeable amateur. Nothing more. Go back and read all my posts on this thread, especially the ones that explain the model's limitations and how it works (posts 111 and 114), along with the ones where I emphasize that I do not believe there will be as many cases or deaths as projected by this model.
Also, please note that I am neither an epidemiologist nor a statistician, and I have not presented myself as one. I am a computer programmer with 26 years of experience applying computers to medicine and medical information, with a Master's Degree in Medical Informatics.
This post was intended only for discussion and critique by other members of Free Republic. The model I developed is not in any way suitable for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.
I'm not backing off anything I've said. I'm just trying to put it in its proper context so that people don't flip out.