Some of these races are really close.
If you check the source, RCP does an average, and I think the trend is very noteworthy. The trend over the summer has really gone well for some of these Republicans. Cotton was behind Pryor until recently, and in Iowa, Ernst is finally showing ahead of Braley, after being 10 points behind back in May. In North Carolina, Hagan led Tillis by 5% as late as July, but now he’s up 5%, so RCP has the AVERAGE as 0.8% Tillis.
Louisiana has that stupid open primary thing where you vote for everyone at once and if no one gets over 50% they have a runoff. Cassidy is the front runner Republican but has another Republican running against him—Maness, but as of the past two weeks, these two combined Republicans are getting a couple of points HIGHER than Landrieu. She can’t seem to top 40%.
So time will tell. It does look like Colorado is slipping further into Californication... Even Hickenlooper is increasing his lead for governor, and after the Gun Control debacle and recalls they had there, I really thought they were coming to their senses but I guess they just want to double-down on the stupid.